TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Krystof Lahodny vs Jan Lovl 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119711811––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Lovl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Lovl at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 1–3 Jan Lovl Krystof Lahodny has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Lahodny beat Lovl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lovl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Lovl
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lahodny 1577 vs Lovl 1597
Lovl
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lahodny 80% vs Lovl 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lahodny 60% vs Lovl 80%
Lovl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lahodny -1 · Lovl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lahodny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lovl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 1.83 / Lovl 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lahodny)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13205595
Lahodny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lovl1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLahodny1wins
AwayLovl3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLovl leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLahodnyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLovl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lahodny0Lovl4n = 4Lovl took 4 of 4
S2Lahodny2Lovl2n = 4split evenly
S3Lahodny2Lovl2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricLahodnyLovlLahodny − LovlBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match35.039.0−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 63 vs 188 / 36049.2%52.2%31 / 63 vs 188 / 360Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LahodnyLahodny 1.83/Lovl 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lahodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 27 · 07:05K. Lahodny4291111113J. Lovl35117891
LSep 13 · 15:05K. Lahodny2878130J. Lovl371111153
LAug 21 · 13:10K. Lahodny4871411882J. Lovl501112511113
LAug 21 · 11:05K. Lahodny2248100J. Lovl341111123
K. Lahodny10
LSep 27 · 08:35K. Lahodny1.67119661R. Vavricka2.1071111113WSep 27 · 07:05J. Lovl1.57117891K. Lahodny2.2591111113WSep 27 · 06:35M. Flesar1.6772111162K. Lahodny2.10111166113WSep 26 · 21:38K. Lahodny1.8013119113D. Hons1.911151161WSep 26 · 20:05D. Hons2.0011116352K. Lahodny1.73991111113WSep 26 · 19:35L. Vana1.91911491K. Lahodny1.8011611113WSep 26 · 18:35K. Lahodny1.83961111113J. Martin1.8311119952LSep 25 · 13:04R. Neterda1.5311911113K. Lahodny2.38811561LSep 25 · 12:35R. Neterda1.831111113K. Lahodny1.836780LSep 25 · 11:35K. Lahodny3.00411771J. Ruzicka1.3611911113
J. Lovl10
WSep 27 · 08:05J. Lovl1.501111113M. Flesar2.509890LSep 27 · 07:05J. Lovl1.57117891K. Lahodny2.2591111113WSep 27 · 06:05J. Lovl1.6111711113R. Vavricka2.20911781WSep 26 · 09:49J. Ruzicka1.83101070J. Lovl1.831212113WSep 26 · 08:35J. Lovl1.611311118113R. Vavricka2.20116131152LSep 26 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.911111113J. Lovl1.808430WSep 26 · 06:35D. Hons2.208139101J. Lovl1.61111111123WSep 23 · 09:33J. Lovl1.73611411113R. Neterda2.0011911742WSep 23 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.833500J. Lovl1.831111113WSep 23 · 07:35M. Flesar3.251071291J. Lovl1.33121110113
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