TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Karol Guzy vs Piotr Odelski 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185111012811––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1185111012811––
H2H Karol Guzy 3–3 Piotr Odelski Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Guzy beat Odelski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.91 / Odelski 1.78
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guzy)+5.7pp
TT Cup · #13197345
Guzy1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 55 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back38% 17 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back21% 5 of 24
Odelski1.78
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 30 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGuzy3wins
AwayOdelski3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOdelski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy2Odelski4n = 6Odelski took 4 of 6
S2Guzy3Odelski3n = 6split evenly
S3Guzy3Odelski3n = 6split evenly
S4Guzy2Odelski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGuzyOdelskiG − OBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.536.7−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime656 / 1088 vs 56 / 9460.3%59.6%656 / 1088 vs 56 / 94Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.91/Odelski 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 25 · 19:30K. Guzy331111113P. Odelski269890
LSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy2257100P. Odelski341111123
WSep 17 · 15:30K. Guzy4071111113P. Odelski31117941
LSep 16 · 15:30K. Guzy37911891P. Odelski3911611113
LSep 11 · 18:00K. Guzy32781161P. Odelski4011117113
WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy491141112113P. Odelski50711131092
K. Guzy10
WSep 25 · 20:30K. Zapala2.75128511142K. Guzy1.401011118163WSep 25 · 19:30P. Odelski2.009890K. Guzy1.721111113LSep 25 · 18:00D. Bucko1.958101111113K. Guzy1.7411126992WSep 25 · 15:30G. Rokita3.008115101K. Guzy1.3311611123LSep 25 · 14:00T. Stachera2.90941111113K. Guzy1.3711117772WSep 19 · 23:35K. Kowalewski2.10971191K. Guzy1.6511119113WSep 19 · 21:05K. Guzy1.90118611123D. Bucko1.76711114102WSep 19 · 19:35K. Guzy1.55111110113K. Zapala2.30671271WSep 19 · 18:05K. Guzy1.47611911113P. Kos2.5011311542LSep 19 · 16:05K. Guzy1.767880K. Kowalewski1.901111113
P. Odelski10
WSep 25 · 21:00G. Rokita2.607560P. Odelski1.441111113LSep 25 · 19:30P. Odelski2.009890K. Guzy1.721111113LSep 25 · 17:30K. Zapala3.00115119113P. Odelski1.3381181192LSep 25 · 15:00T. Stachera2.601212113P. Odelski1.44101070WSep 25 · 14:30D. Bucko2.2581111772P. Odelski1.57118911113WSep 18 · 22:30K. Kowalewski1.607760P. Odelski2.201111113WSep 18 · 21:00P. Odelski1.591111113B. Gola2.085580WSep 18 · 19:00P. Kos2.10117112102P. Odelski1.66611811123WSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy1.6657100P. Odelski2.101111123WSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113
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