TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Cernik vs Martin Huk 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151210––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-6
Point 50 set 3, 10-6 — our read held Jan Cernik at 75.5%
50 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Cernik 15–1 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Cernik beat Huk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-1 in 16
Cernik
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1936 vs Huk 1830
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 100% vs Huk 40%
Cernik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 60% vs Huk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik +6 · Huk +1
Cernik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.13 / Huk 5.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Cernik)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195859
Cernik1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 71 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Huk5.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 118 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back26% 39 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik10wins
AwayHuk0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik100%9 of 9
AwayHukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik9Huk1n = 10Cernik took 9 of 10
S2Cernik8Huk2n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S3Cernik8Huk2n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S4Cernik4Huk1n = 5Cernik took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikHukC − HBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.527.3+10.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikHukBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 348 vs 791 / 160958.9%49.2%205 / 348 vs 791 / 1609Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.13/Huk 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.3%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik331111113M. Huk209560
WJul 25 · 12:30J. Cernik46117116113M. Huk4171151172
WDec 14 · 18:30J. Cernik331111113M. Huk147250
WDec 14 · 17:30J. Cernik351311113M. Huk2111730
WDec 14 · 11:00J. Cernik341111123M. Huk1853100
WSep 26 · 06:30J. Cernik331111113M. Huk258890
WAug 22 · 02:30J. Cernik4011117113M. Huk32781161
WAug 17 · 02:30J. Cernik3511121113M. Huk389101181
WJun 29 · 06:30J. Cernik4291111113M. Huk26114561
WJun 28 · 02:30J. Cernik44111011123M. Huk388128101
J. Cernik10
WSep 25 · 16:30J. Cernik1.33631111113O. Kolisnyk3.2511117992WSep 25 · 15:00J. Cernik1.141211113M. Huk5.0010770WSep 25 · 14:00E. Mares2.1051090J. Cernik1.671112113WSep 25 · 13:29E. Mares1.7391110111J. Cernik2.0011512133WSep 25 · 12:30O. Kolisnyk2.7599100J. Cernik1.401111123WSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik1.171111113M. Huk4.509560LSep 25 · 10:30E. Mares2.201111113J. Cernik1.614940LSep 20 · 16:59D. Opanasiuk1.2811119113J. Cernik3.50481111LSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100LSep 20 · 15:00J. Medek2.10111112133J. Cernik1.675514111
M. Huk10
WSep 25 · 16:00E. Mares1.50101111692M. Huk2.50126611113LSep 25 · 15:00J. Cernik1.141211113M. Huk5.0010770WSep 25 · 14:30M. Huk1.809111112113O. Kolisnyk1.9111771492LSep 25 · 13:00M. Huk1.80119951O. Kolisnyk1.9161111113LSep 25 · 12:00M. Huk2.636690E. Mares1.441111113LSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik1.171111113M. Huk4.509560WSep 25 · 10:00M. Huk1.911618133O. Kolisnyk1.801416110LSep 22 · 03:30M. Huk2.5571050J. Kycelt1.451112113WSep 22 · 02:30J. Kycelt1.5398130M. Huk2.381111153WSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143
Upcoming Matches
J. Cernik
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M. Huk
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