TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Michal Malachowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711411––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
711711411––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 1–3 Michal Malachowski Dawid Kosmal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Malachowski beat Kosmal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Malachowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.20 / Malachowski 1.62
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Malachowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13194010
Kosmal2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Malachowski1.62
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 81 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosmal1wins
AwayMalachowski3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMalachowski leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMalachowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal1Malachowski3n = 4Malachowski took 3 of 4
S2Kosmal1Malachowski3n = 4Malachowski took 3 of 4
S3Kosmal2Malachowski2n = 4split evenly
S4Kosmal0Malachowski3n = 3Malachowski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosmalMalachowskiK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.045.5−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 670 vs 410 / 78453.4%52.3%358 / 670 vs 410 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiKosmal 2.20/Malachowski 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal459148141M. Malachowski50111211163
WMay 20 · 16:20D. Kosmal5911101116113M. Malachowski5091271842
LMay 5 · 20:10D. Kosmal30471361M. Malachowski44111111113
LOct 27 · 11:20D. Kosmal30137100M. Malachowski381511123
D. Kosmal10
LSep 25 · 09:45M. Nowalinski1.60791114113D. Kosmal2.10111191292LSep 25 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.7371111113D. Kosmal1.98113741LSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal2.259148141M. Malachowski1.58111211163WSep 25 · 06:00P. Klos1.332101171D. Kosmal2.9511124113LSep 25 · 04:50K. Kapik1.8311118113D. Kosmal1.87861191LSep 25 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9511115113D. Kosmal1.75681181WSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113WSep 17 · 13:30D. Kosmal1.8161111113M. Minda1.90114481WSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak2.25711561D. Kosmal1.5711711113
M. Malachowski10
LSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100WSep 25 · 08:05K. Kapik1.78114951M. Malachowski1.9181111113WSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal2.259148141M. Malachowski1.58111211163LSep 25 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.2161111113M. Malachowski1.52117271LSep 25 · 04:25P. Klos1.521111113M. Malachowski2.356750WSep 25 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.75116101162M. Malachowski1.95611126113LSep 24 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.85811591G. Poliniewicz1.8011611113LSep 24 · 13:00M. Malachowski1.85651111122M. Rutkowski1.85111197143WSep 24 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.8011911113K. Kapik1.90911781WSep 24 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.651111811113J. Zochniak1.4313611962
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