TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Michal Malachowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91114128111416––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Malachowski to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
91114128111416––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 1–3 Michal Malachowski Dawid Kosmal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Malachowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Malachowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1610 vs Malachowski 1630
Malachowski
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Malachowski 20%
Kosmal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 80% vs Malachowski 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Malachowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Malachowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malachowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.25 / Malachowski 1.58
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Malachowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13193017
Kosmal2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Malachowski1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 81 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKosmal1wins
AwayMalachowski3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMalachowski leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMalachowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal1Malachowski3n = 4Malachowski took 3 of 4
S2Kosmal1Malachowski3n = 4Malachowski took 3 of 4
S3Kosmal2Malachowski2n = 4split evenly
S4Kosmal0Malachowski3n = 3Malachowski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKosmalMalachowskiK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.045.5−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMalachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 669 vs 410 / 78453.5%52.3%358 / 669 vs 410 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalachowskiKosmal 2.25/Malachowski 1.58
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Malachowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Malachowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 25 · 07:15D. Kosmal459148141M. Malachowski50111211163
WMay 20 · 16:20D. Kosmal5911101116113M. Malachowski5091271842
LMay 5 · 20:10D. Kosmal30471361M. Malachowski44111111113
LOct 27 · 11:20D. Kosmal30137100M. Malachowski381511123
D. Kosmal10
LSep 25 · 09:45M. Nowalinski1.60791114113D. Kosmal2.10111191292LSep 25 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.7371111113D. Kosmal1.98113741WSep 25 · 06:00P. Klos1.332101171D. Kosmal2.9511124113LSep 25 · 04:50K. Kapik1.8311118113D. Kosmal1.87861191LSep 25 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9511115113D. Kosmal1.75681181WSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113WSep 17 · 13:30D. Kosmal1.8161111113M. Minda1.90114481WSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak2.25711561D. Kosmal1.5711711113WSep 17 · 09:25W. Suchecki5.354440D. Kosmal1.101111113
M. Malachowski10
LSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100WSep 25 · 08:05K. Kapik1.78114951M. Malachowski1.9181111113LSep 25 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.2161111113M. Malachowski1.52117271LSep 25 · 04:25P. Klos1.521111113M. Malachowski2.356750WSep 25 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.75116101162M. Malachowski1.95611126113LSep 24 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.85811591G. Poliniewicz1.8011611113LSep 24 · 13:00M. Malachowski1.85651111122M. Rutkowski1.85111197143WSep 24 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.8011911113K. Kapik1.90911781WSep 24 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.651111811113J. Zochniak1.4313611962LSep 24 · 09:00M. Malachowski2.0081191182J. Kwapis1.70115117113
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