TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Kapik vs Dawid Kosmal 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116811119––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
118116811119––
H2H Krzysztof Kapik 9–9 Dawid Kosmal Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kapik 1640 vs Kosmal 1616
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapik 20% vs Kosmal 80%
Kosmal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapik 30% vs Kosmal 70%
Kosmal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapik -2 · Kosmal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapik 1.83 / Kosmal 1.87
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13192740
Kapik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 220 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it78% 148 of 189
Kosmal1.87
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKapik5wins
AwayKosmal5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKapik60%3 of 5
AwayKosmal60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kapik5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S2Kapik5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Kapik4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S4Kapik4Kosmal2n = 6Kapik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKapikKosmalKapik − KosmalBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.632.8+0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKapikKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime1122 / 2105 vs 357 / 66653.3%53.6%1122 / 2105 vs 357 / 666Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKapik 1.83/Kosmal 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 04:50K. Kapik4111118113D. Kosmal34861191
LSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik361081171D. Kosmal3712113113
WSep 16 · 10:30K. Kapik331111113D. Kosmal189630
WSep 16 · 03:20K. Kapik49711911113D. Kosmal4211511692
LAug 31 · 09:00K. Kapik29115671D. Kosmal4291111113
LAug 28 · 14:35K. Kapik204970D. Kosmal331111113
LJun 9 · 16:40K. Kapik145810D. Kosmal331111113
WJun 8 · 20:35K. Kapik331111113D. Kosmal122550
WMay 13 · 19:25K. Kapik3851111113D. Kosmal29117741
LMar 11 · 17:40K. Kapik4311661282D. Kosmal485111110113
K. Kapik10
WSep 25 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.831211117102K. Kapik1.83148911123LSep 25 · 03:40K. Kapik2.7571151192P. Klos1.40117118113LSep 24 · 14:15K. Kapik1.73912381J. Kwapis1.98111011113WSep 24 · 12:35J. Zochniak3.2046110K. Kapik1.331111133LSep 24 · 11:45M. Malachowski1.8011911113K. Kapik1.90911781LSep 24 · 10:55K. Kapik2.00812100G. Poliniewicz1.701114123LSep 24 · 09:45K. Kapik2.1011101110122M. Rutkowski1.65712312143WSep 24 · 00:35K. Kapik1.5711112113K. Klocek2.25561171WSep 23 · 23:45K. Rudomina3.501011117102K. Kapik1.28128711123LSep 23 · 22:35K. Kapik2.003460K. Staszczyk1.731111113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 25 · 06:00P. Klos1.332101171D. Kosmal2.9511124113LSep 25 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9511115113D. Kosmal1.75681181WSep 17 · 14:40F. Krcil3.106760D. Kosmal1.321111113WSep 17 · 13:30D. Kosmal1.8161111113M. Minda1.90114481WSep 17 · 12:15R. Stapor2.1511116632D. Kosmal1.64981111113WSep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak2.25711561D. Kosmal1.5711711113WSep 17 · 09:25W. Suchecki5.354440D. Kosmal1.101111113WSep 17 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.8751111552D. Kosmal1.83117711113WSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.851081171D. Kosmal1.8512113113LSep 17 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.708880M. Olbrycht2.001111113
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