TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Ivan Nitchenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111610121181012
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 30–24 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 24 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrytsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-24 in 54
Hrytsenko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1637 vs Nitchenko 1636
Hrytsenko
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Nitchenko 40%
Hrytsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Nitchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +2 · Nitchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.67 / Nitchenko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13191082
Hrytsenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 51 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Nitchenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko7wins
AwayNitchenko3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayNitchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko7Nitchenko3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S2Hrytsenko5Nitchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrytsenko6Nitchenko4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko6Nitchenko2n = 8Hrytsenko took 6 of 8
S5Hrytsenko3Nitchenko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoNitchenkoH − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.537.9+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 646 vs 192 / 40049.5%48%320 / 646 vs 192 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.67/Nitchenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nitchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko331111113I. Nitchenko113440
WSep 18 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko55118619113I. Nitchenko53811111762
WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko52139711123I. Nitchenko441111111102
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko4211119113I. Nitchenko26841131
WAug 21 · 09:20E. Hrytsenko3811115113I. Nitchenko28581141
WAug 11 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko40521111113I. Nitchenko3911119172
LAug 4 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko4191211542I. Nitchenko511110811113
LJul 3 · 12:20E. Hrytsenko42104111252I. Nitchenko501211610113
WMay 26 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko351111133I. Nitchenko2577110
LMay 22 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko4712711982I. Nitchenko521011911113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 25 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko3.251111116113A. Nazarov1.3371361182WSep 25 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.2511119113M. Mrykh1.57991191LSep 25 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.83105100O. Strutinskiy1.831211123LSep 25 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.258980A. Derevianko1.571111113WSep 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.801111113I. Nitchenko1.913440LSep 22 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.611111113E. Hrytsenko2.204680LSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.6711911113E. Hrytsenko2.10811971WSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 06:50O. Strutinskiy1.441112741E. Hrytsenko2.6361411113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh1.534101181E. Hrytsenko2.3811129113
I. Nitchenko10
LSep 25 · 10:50I. Nitchenko1.91491271M. Mrykh1.80111110113WSep 25 · 09:50I. Nitchenko1.6171111113A. Derevianko2.20118691LSep 25 · 08:20I. Nitchenko2.75811451A. Nazarov1.4011611113WSep 25 · 06:20I. Nitchenko2.0011611113O. Strutinskiy1.73411881LSep 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.801111113I. Nitchenko1.913440WSep 22 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.6312312113V. Savoliuk1.4410111071LSep 22 · 09:20O. Strutinskiy1.831112113I. Nitchenko1.8351070WSep 22 · 07:20M. Mrykh1.737912101I. Nitchenko2.00111110123LSep 22 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.20751212113I. Nitchenko1.611111101042WSep 18 · 18:00I. Nitchenko3.25991111143A. Nazarov1.33111178122
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