TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Anatolii Nazarov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171113116611118
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 70.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 4–10 Anatolii Nazarov Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Nazarov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Nazarov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1626 vs Nazarov 1638
Nazarov
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 40% vs Nazarov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Nazarov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +1 · Nazarov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nazarov) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 3.25 / Nazarov 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Nazarov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13191043
Hrytsenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 81 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 59
Nazarov1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 51 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko1wins
AwayNazarov9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNazarov leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko0%0 of 4
AwayNazarov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko3Nazarov7n = 10Nazarov took 7 of 10
S3Hrytsenko4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko1Nazarov7n = 8Nazarov took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoNazarovH − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.739.6−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 645 vs 349 / 64349.5%54.3%319 / 645 vs 349 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovHrytsenko 3.25/Nazarov 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko205780A. Nazarov331111113
LSep 18 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko30211891A. Nazarov3911611113
LSep 14 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko4511811962A. Nazarov45711511113
LAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko174940A. Nazarov331111113
LJul 20 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko341151171A. Nazarov4381113113
LJun 1 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko341071161A. Nazarov4012116113
LMay 25 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko30118651A. Nazarov4181111113
WMay 18 · 19:50E. Hrytsenko46111311113A. Nazarov371311671
LMay 5 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko4511118962A. Nazarov45391111113
LMay 4 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko26861111A. Nazarov4011117113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 25 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.2511119113M. Mrykh1.57991191LSep 25 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.83105100O. Strutinskiy1.831211123LSep 25 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.258980A. Derevianko1.571111113WSep 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.801111113I. Nitchenko1.913440LSep 22 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.611111113E. Hrytsenko2.204680LSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.6711911113E. Hrytsenko2.10811971WSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191WSep 22 · 06:50O. Strutinskiy1.441112741E. Hrytsenko2.6361411113WSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh1.534101181E. Hrytsenko2.3811129113LSep 21 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.33119712113E. Hrytsenko3.25511111022
A. Nazarov10
WSep 25 · 09:20A. Nazarov2.20571111113O. Strutinskiy1.6111119782WSep 25 · 08:20I. Nitchenko2.75811451A. Nazarov1.4011611113LSep 25 · 06:50A. Nazarov1.8010780M. Mrykh1.911211113LSep 21 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.9181211113A. Nazarov1.801110931LSep 21 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.2081111572O. Strutinskiy1.61114911113WSep 21 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.361111113E. Hrytsenko3.005780LSep 21 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.836860M. Mrykh1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.101112133V. Savoliuk1.67910110LSep 18 · 18:00I. Nitchenko3.25991111143A. Nazarov1.33111178122LSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113
Upcoming Matches
E. Hrytsenko
Nothing scheduled
A. Nazarov
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