TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Pilch vs Radomir Revay 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
2.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13118111144111315
Radomir Revay
Away
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 101 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Radomir Revay at 62.2%
101 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 4–18 Radomir Revay Jakub Pilch has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Revay beat Pilch 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-18 in 22
Revay
Correct
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1819 vs Revay 1862
Revay
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 60% vs Revay 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 70% vs Revay 50%
Pilch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch +2 · Revay -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Revay) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 2.90 / Revay 1.35
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Revay)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189168
Pilch2.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Revay1.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 73 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it100% 32 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch1wins
AwayRevay9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRevay leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch0%0 of 4
AwayRevay83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Revay6n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S2Pilch3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S3Pilch1Revay9n = 10Revay took 9 of 10
S4Pilch3Revay3n = 6split evenly
S5Pilch0Revay3n = 3Revay took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchRevayP − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.939.8−7.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 449 vs 315 / 60250.3%52.3%226 / 449 vs 315 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayPilch 2.90/Revay 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.6%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 10:30J. Pilch4011671152R. Revay46711116113
LSep 18 · 10:00J. Pilch35119871R. Revay4071111113
LSep 13 · 17:29J. Pilch2610970R. Revay341211113
LSep 13 · 14:30J. Pilch2111460R. Revay351311113
LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch184860R. Revay331111113
LSep 10 · 06:30J. Pilch4112115942R. Revay491061111113
WJul 24 · 07:30J. Pilch3941111133R. Revay351167111
LJun 15 · 11:00J. Pilch2951590R. Revay391117113
LJun 15 · 09:28J. Pilch4151171172R. Revay45115117113
LJun 15 · 07:00J. Pilch29115851R. Revay4291111113
J. Pilch10
WSep 24 · 12:30T. Zika2.0011960J. Pilch1.731311113WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pilch2.7511114113J. Szotkowski1.40991171LSep 24 · 10:30R. Revay1.36711116113J. Pilch3.0011671152LSep 23 · 13:30T. Zika1.871111113J. Pilch1.835970WSep 23 · 12:00P. Wawrosz1.8389100J. Pilch1.831111123WSep 23 · 11:00M. Navedla2.1061191182J. Pilch1.67117119113LSep 23 · 10:30J. Pilch1.80612861T. Zika1.91111011113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100WSep 21 · 15:30D. Ondryas2.10101080J. Pilch1.661212113
R. Revay10
LSep 24 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.67111179143R. Revay2.10781111122WSep 24 · 11:00T. Zika1.739450R. Revay2.001111113WSep 24 · 10:30R. Revay1.36711116113J. Pilch3.0011671152LSep 23 · 09:05R. Revay2.07111011592O. Paril1.67412311113WSep 23 · 08:00R. Revay1.8311119113R. Polasek1.83971141WSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113LSep 23 · 06:00R. Revay2.001111121072O. Paril1.711361012113LSep 21 · 13:00R. Polasek1.911011159113R. Revay1.80126131172WSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:00R. Polasek1.8011127113R. Revay1.917101181
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