TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jakub Nemecek Snr vs Tadeas Bertho 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611711––––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Nemecek Snr above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 49 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bertho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Snr 1462 vs Bertho 1503
Bertho
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Bertho 60%
Bertho
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Bertho 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -2 · Bertho -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.91 / Bertho 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13173582
Snr1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 10 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Bertho1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 78 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 144 vs 362 / 67941.7%53.3%60 / 144 vs 362 / 679Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoSnr 1.91/Bertho 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bertho won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Snr10
LSep 22 · 18:30S. Kalensky1.618111011113J. Snr2.2011812592LSep 22 · 18:00M. Cizek1.73121111113J. Snr2.00145461WSep 20 · 12:45J. Snr1.7381116113O. Chadima2.001121461WSep 20 · 12:00F. Kubos1.6713591172J. Snr2.101111114113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Juppa1.671114113J. Snr2.1091290LSep 20 · 09:30O. Chadima2.00411118113J. Snr1.7311571172WSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 19:30J. Snr1.53111111572L. Hendrych2.38891311113WSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871LSep 18 · 17:30J. Snr1.7310480F. Kubos2.001211113
T. Bertho10
LSep 22 · 19:00M. Cizek1.6716119143T. Bertho2.1014711121LSep 22 · 17:30S. Kalensky2.101111119113T. Bertho1.6713591182WSep 19 · 11:45T. Bertho1.613111011113O. Plyska2.2011912862WSep 19 · 10:15T. Hanke1.67551631T. Bertho2.10111114113WSep 19 · 09:45M. Vana1.83116461T. Bertho1.8361111113LSep 18 · 16:28T. Bertho2.0011137572T. Hanke1.736111111113LSep 18 · 16:00J. Juppa1.5381111113T. Bertho2.38115881LSep 18 · 15:00T. Hanke1.7371113113T. Bertho2.001161141WSep 18 · 13:30Z. Kuksa2.1011651142T. Bertho1.67511116113WSep 17 · 20:33T. Bertho1.8011118113P. Maly1.91541151
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