TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Pleskot vs Tomas Nohejl 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411118113118––
Tomas Nohejl
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Nohejl to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Tomas Nohejl below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Nohejl at 61.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 5–4 Tomas Nohejl Tomas Nohejl has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1258 vs Nohejl 1464
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 40% vs Nohejl 100%
Nohejl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 20% vs Nohejl 90%
Nohejl
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot -1 · Nohejl +7
Nohejl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 2.63 / Nohejl 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169677
Pleskot2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 67 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Nohejl1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 33 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePleskot5wins
AwayNohejl4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPleskot leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskotn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNohejl42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot2Nohejl7n = 9Nohejl took 7 of 9
S2Pleskot4Nohejl5n = 9Nohejl took 5 of 9
S3Pleskot5Nohejl4n = 9Pleskot took 5 of 9
S4Pleskot7Nohejl1n = 8Pleskot took 7 of 8
S5Pleskot2Nohejl2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPleskotNohejlP − NBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match41.241.4−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 616 vs 107 / 19645.6%54.6%281 / 616 vs 107 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlPleskot 2.63/Nohejl 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2376100T. Nohejl341111123
LMar 11 · 09:00J. Pleskot40101151132T. Nohejl52129119113
WMar 9 · 09:00J. Pleskot42631111113T. Nohejl4611119782
LJan 16 · 09:00J. Pleskot391188121T. Nohejl4371111143
WJan 13 · 10:00J. Pleskot46851111113T. Nohejl4311118492
WJan 13 · 09:30J. Pleskot4181111113T. Nohejl35119781
WDec 24 · 10:00J. Pleskot4511119143T. Nohejl399711121
LDec 24 · 09:00J. Pleskot52991111122T. Nohejl46111155143
WDec 23 · 09:30J. Pleskot4391211113T. Nohejl351110771
J. Pleskot10
LSep 22 · 07:30P. Sudek2.00117811113J. Pleskot1.7391111682WSep 22 · 06:00J. Pleskot2.10111112113L. Sulava1.661381081LSep 21 · 02:00R. Hasmanda1.6112117113J. Pleskot2.201061181LSep 21 · 24:30J. Pleskot1.837730L. Sulava1.831111113WSep 20 · 23:00J. Pleskot1.911191011113M. Stefek1.8061112452LSep 20 · 22:00T. Regner1.50621111113J. Pleskot2.5011112482LSep 16 · 17:00L. Sulava2.00111117113J. Pleskot1.7361161162LSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123LSep 16 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.83351191L. Sulava1.8311119113LSep 16 · 14:00T. Regner1.40914116113J. Pleskot2.75111271132
T. Nohejl10
WSep 22 · 07:00L. Sulava2.1011119982T. Nohejl1.67691111113WSep 22 · 06:30T. Nohejl1.5781111113P. Sudek2.25116991WSep 21 · 09:28T. Nohejl1.67126811143J. Steffan2.101011117122WSep 21 · 08:00T. Nohejl2.0061112113J. Steffan1.731141021WSep 21 · 07:30J. Strnad2.1047110T. Nohejl1.671111133WSep 21 · 06:00T. Nohejl2.10711117113V. Dolezal1.6711691162WSep 18 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.67108100T. Nohejl2.101211123LSep 18 · 08:30T. Nohejl1.80611861Z. Drabek1.9111911113WSep 18 · 07:00T. Nohejl1.6751112113Z. Zikmunda2.101181051WSep 16 · 16:30J. Pleskot2.2576100T. Nohejl1.571111123
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