TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Marek Blejchar
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111171412118––
Radim Adam
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-5
Point 79 set 4, 10-5 — our read held Marek Blejchar at 58.7%
79 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marek Blejchar 37–25 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 25 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Blejchar beat Adam 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-25 in 62
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 12 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1543 vs Adam 1517
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Adam 40%
Blejchar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 40% vs Adam 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +3 · Adam -2
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Blejchar)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.60 / Adam 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Blejchar)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164402
Blejchar1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 95 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it84% 63 of 75
Adam2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 35 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlejchar6wins
AwayAdam4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBlejchar leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar66.7%6 of 9
AwayAdamn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar9Adam1n = 10Blejchar took 9 of 10
S2Blejchar5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S3Blejchar5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S4Blejchar5Adam2n = 7Blejchar took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlejcharAdamB − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.5+3.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 650 vs 197 / 38248.6%51.6%316 / 650 vs 197 / 382Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.60/Adam 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 11:00M. Blejchar4011126113R. Adam306101131
WSep 13 · 11:00M. Blejchar341111123R. Adam2477100
WSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar401213153R. Adam341011130
LSep 9 · 20:00M. Blejchar32117861R. Adam3851111113
LSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar50118811122R. Adam48711115143
WSep 6 · 16:00M. Blejchar4412912113R. Adam3610111051
WAug 22 · 15:30M. Blejchar341112113R. Adam2371060
WAug 21 · 10:30M. Blejchar4111118113R. Adam35981171
LAug 9 · 17:30M. Blejchar4698111172R. Adam45111157113
LAug 9 · 15:30M. Blejchar30119551R. Adam4291111113
M. Blejchar10
WSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101LSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591LSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172LSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113LSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113LSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162WSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123
R. Adam10
LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113LSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123
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