TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Chodorski vs Tibor Spanik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Piotr Chodorski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114811311––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTibor Spanik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Tibor Spanik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Tibor Spanik at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Chodorski 1–6 Tibor Spanik Piotr Chodorski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Spanik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Spanik
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chodorski 1773 vs Spanik 1848
Spanik
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chodorski 40% vs Spanik 20%
Chodorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chodorski 50% vs Spanik 30%
Chodorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chodorski +2 · Spanik -4
Spanik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spanik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spanik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChodorski 1.83 / Spanik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Spanik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13206323
Chodorski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Spanik1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeChodorski1wins
AwaySpanik6wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSpanik leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChodorskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySpanik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chodorski2Spanik5n = 7Spanik took 5 of 7
S2Chodorski1Spanik6n = 7Spanik took 6 of 7
S3Chodorski3Spanik4n = 7Spanik took 4 of 7
S4Chodorski3Spanik2n = 5Chodorski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricChodorskiSpanikC − SBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match29.938.7−8.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChodorskiSpanikBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 816 vs 258 / 46849.3%55.1%402 / 816 vs 258 / 468Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpanikChodorski 1.83/Spanik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Spanik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Spanik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMar 31 · 10:25P. Chodorski24351151T. Spanik4011117113
LMar 31 · 05:05P. Chodorski335116111T. Spanik4111611133
LMar 23 · 16:35P. Chodorski3865111152T. Spanik48111169113
WMar 23 · 06:50P. Chodorski43111011113T. Spanik31812831
LMar 5 · 14:15P. Chodorski175930T. Spanik331111113
LMar 5 · 05:20P. Chodorski3911461172T. Spanik45711115113
LMar 4 · 15:05P. Chodorski155640T. Spanik331111113
P. Chodorski10
WSep 28 · 09:00P. Chodorski1.831111123T. Spanik1.8325100WSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.671156111P. Chodorski2.1081111133WSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 04:55P. Chodorski2.25111111792G. Felkel1.57971311113LSep 28 · 03:45P. Chodorski1.91101181472M. Jadczyk1.801251112113LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153
T. Spanik10
LSep 28 · 09:00P. Chodorski1.831111123T. Spanik1.8325100LSep 28 · 07:20G. Felkel1.831111113T. Spanik1.835370LSep 28 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.571112113T. Spanik2.2591040LSep 28 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.91111111113T. Spanik1.80513761LSep 28 · 03:00K. Petas2.101111113T. Spanik1.676970WSep 27 · 14:10G. Adamiak2.254790T. Spanik1.571111113LSep 27 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.20111711113T. Spanik1.6111911862WSep 27 · 11:15K. Kolodziej2.20811111042T. Spanik1.61118512113WSep 27 · 10:25M. Jadczyk2.009950T. Spanik1.731111113LSep 27 · 09:00K. Petas2.001112113T. Spanik1.7371040
Upcoming Matches
P. Chodorski
Sep 28 · 10:00P. Chodorski2.20K. Petas1.61—Sep 28 · 11:40P. Chodorski2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 28 · 12:55P. Chodorski2.00M. Jadczyk1.73—Sep 28 · 14:35P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—Sep 29 · 03:25P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—Sep 29 · 04:10P. Chodorski2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 29 · 06:30P. Chodorski2.10P. David1.67—Sep 29 · 07:45P. Chodorski1.83A. Wiecek1.83—Sep 29 · 09:40P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—
T. Spanik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.