TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Miroshnychenko vs Serhii Priadko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151191012119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 84.6%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 25–3 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 3 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Miroshnychenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-3 in 28
Miroshnychenko
Correct
gap of 22 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1381 vs Priadko 1189
Miroshnychenko
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Priadko 0%
Miroshnychenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 50% vs Priadko 20%
Miroshnychenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko +2 · Priadko -5
Priadko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (0%) is below what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 1.20 / Priadko 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13202995
Miroshnychenko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite80% won 52 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Priadko4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 45 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko9wins
AwayPriadko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko100%7 of 7
AwayPriadko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko7Priadko3n = 10Miroshnychenko took 7 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko7Priadko3n = 10Miroshnychenko took 7 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko9Priadko1n = 10Miroshnychenko took 9 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko4Priadko1n = 5Miroshnychenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoPriadkoM − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.429.1+9.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 859 vs 249 / 60235.7%41.4%307 / 859 vs 249 / 602Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoMiroshnychenko 1.20/Priadko 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.6%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 12:00S. Miroshnychenko388911101S. Priadko3811114123
WSep 9 · 12:00S. Miroshnychenko4291111113S. Priadko32117951
WSep 2 · 12:00S. Miroshnychenko331111113S. Priadko184590
WAug 26 · 16:30S. Miroshnychenko341211113S. Priadko2410860
WJul 24 · 12:30S. Miroshnychenko341112113S. Priadko2261060
WJul 19 · 14:30S. Miroshnychenko4211911113S. Priadko28711731
WJul 17 · 13:30S. Miroshnychenko331111113S. Priadko179440
WJul 5 · 15:30S. Miroshnychenko48811711113S. Priadko4511711972
WJul 1 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko4511611173S. Priadko386116151
WJun 30 · 16:30S. Miroshnychenko351111133S. Priadko2999110
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 27 · 16:30I. Torhachov4.33121690S. Miroshnychenko1.201418113WSep 27 · 13:30S. Miroshnychenko1.301311113V. Ziakun3.4011770WSep 27 · 12:00S. Miroshnychenko1.251111133R. Boklah3.7546110LSep 24 · 11:30O. Syksa1.30111111113S. Miroshnychenko3.40135981LSep 24 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko3.0011780O. Lyman1.361311113LSep 24 · 08:00O. Kurylenko1.44111011113S. Miroshnychenko2.63912761WSep 24 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.17813851S. Miroshnychenko4.50111111113WSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113LSep 23 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko3.259550O. Syksa1.331111113LSep 23 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.40111111113S. Miroshnychenko2.75513471
S. Priadko10
WSep 27 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6111141214133R. Boklah2.2013121412112LSep 27 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.6761111103S. Priadko2.10115471LSep 27 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.251111113S. Priadko3.753770LSep 20 · 17:09R. Boklah2.10711811103S. Priadko1.6711811582LSep 20 · 16:00S. Priadko1.571171461R. Boklah2.25131112113LSep 20 · 15:00I. Torhachov1.57117411113S. Priadko2.2561111662WSep 20 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.301171091S. Priadko3.4091112113LSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun1.3351311113S. Priadko3.251111551LSep 16 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.611411113S. Priadko2.2012850WSep 16 · 15:00S. Priadko1.5711133153R. Boklah2.2541111131
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