TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Juszczyk vs Lukasz Oracz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Juszczyk above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 56.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Juszczyk 4–4 Lukasz Oracz Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Oracz beat Juszczyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:15What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juszczyk 1447 vs Oracz 1361
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juszczyk 60% vs Oracz 20%
Juszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juszczyk 50% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juszczyk -1 · Oracz -4
Oracz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuszczyk 1.67 / Oracz 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Juszczyk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13195235
Juszczyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 199 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it95% 115 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 159 of 200
Oracz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 122 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJuszczyk4wins
AwayOracz4wins
Level at 4–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuszczyk80%4 of 5
AwayOracz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juszczyk5Oracz3n = 8Juszczyk took 5 of 8
S2Juszczyk4Oracz4n = 8split evenly
S3Juszczyk4Oracz4n = 8split evenly
S4Juszczyk2Oracz3n = 5Oracz took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricJuszczykOraczJ − OBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match34.434.8−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuszczykOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime663 / 1218 vs 844 / 153554.4%55%663 / 1218 vs 844 / 1535Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJuszczyk 1.67/Oracz 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 25 · 17:20K. Juszczyk30118561L. Oracz3851111113
WAug 7 · 22:10K. Juszczyk341211113L. Oracz2610880
LJun 19 · 18:30K. Juszczyk341011761L. Oracz4012611113
LMay 21 · 18:25K. Juszczyk209740L. Oracz331111113
WDec 13 · 03:45K. Juszczyk331111113L. Oracz228770
WDec 13 · 00:05K. Juszczyk4713149113L. Oracz4011121161
WMay 18 · 00:45K. Juszczyk4311713123L. Oracz3751111101
LMay 17 · 22:20K. Juszczyk347611101L. Oracz4211118123
K. Juszczyk10
LSep 26 · 00:35K. Juszczyk1.83611461R. Szymik1.8311911113LSep 25 · 22:10O. Vincenec2.251111113K. Juszczyk1.578780WSep 25 · 21:20K. Juszczyk1.73199117123M. Baron2.001711811102WSep 25 · 19:40K. Juszczyk1.4441311113W. Jozala2.631111561WSep 25 · 18:30K. Juszczyk1.6711129113M. Baron2.109101181LSep 25 · 17:20K. Juszczyk1.50118561L. Oracz2.5051111113WSep 25 · 16:15O. Sokolowski2.385540K. Juszczyk1.531111113WSep 25 · 15:25K. Juszczyk1.801711113O. Vincenec1.9115260LSep 24 · 20:20M. Tkocz1.8011115113K. Juszczyk1.90911161LSep 24 · 19:35M. Adamus2.10101113123K. Juszczyk1.6512511101
L. Oracz10
LSep 26 · 01:25M. Baron2.2511911113L. Oracz1.57711581LSep 25 · 22:35O. Sokolowski2.63611116113L. Oracz1.4411691192LSep 25 · 21:00O. Vincenec1.8361111113L. Oracz1.83117581LSep 25 · 20:05M. Baron2.00611119113L. Oracz1.7311571182LSep 25 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.83911119113L. Oracz1.8311671152WSep 25 · 17:20K. Juszczyk1.50118561L. Oracz2.5051111113LSep 25 · 16:35W. Jozala1.73111156113L. Oracz2.0079111192WSep 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.751091171L. Oracz1.4012117113WSep 24 · 14:20M. Jozefiak2.25811120L. Oracz1.571113143WSep 24 · 13:30W. Urban1.73761381L. Oracz2.00111111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Juszczyk
Nothing scheduled
L. Oracz
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