TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Martyniuk vs Andrey Troyan 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611411119811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeAndrey Troyan to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Martyniuk above · Andrey Troyan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrey Troyan at 60.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Martyniuk 11–18 Andrey Troyan Andrii Martyniuk has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Troyan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-18 in 29
Troyan
Correct
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martyniuk 1525 vs Troyan 1637
Troyan
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martyniuk 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martyniuk 40% vs Troyan 60%
Troyan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martyniuk +1 · Troyan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Troyan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartyniuk 2.20 / Troyan 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Troyan)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13190431
Martyniuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 21 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Troyan1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 181 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it92% 100 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it78% 138 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMartyniuk4wins
AwayTroyan6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTroyan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMartyniuk50%3 of 6
AwayTroyan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martyniuk6Troyan4n = 10Martyniuk took 6 of 10
S2Martyniuk5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Martyniuk5Troyan5n = 10split evenly
S4Martyniuk2Troyan5n = 7Troyan took 5 of 7
S5Martyniuk2Troyan3n = 5Troyan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMartyniukTroyanM − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.340.3−3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartyniukTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 345 vs 472 / 97752.2%48.3%180 / 345 vs 472 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TroyanMartyniuk 2.20/Troyan 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Troyan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Troyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk4411118862A. Troyan47771111113
WSep 21 · 06:30A. Martyniuk351111133A. Troyan2669110
LAug 26 · 12:05A. Martyniuk2010730A. Troyan341211113
LAug 17 · 05:00A. Martyniuk31115871A. Troyan4071111113
LAug 11 · 09:30A. Martyniuk321111821A. Troyan4271311113
LJul 22 · 07:35A. Martyniuk3741511342A. Troyan551113911113
WJul 17 · 10:35A. Martyniuk331111113A. Troyan174490
WJun 27 · 12:00A. Martyniuk47115812113A. Troyan48811111082
LApr 24 · 14:40A. Martyniuk4471111962A. Troyan48116911113
WApr 16 · 13:10A. Martyniuk50981111113A. Troyan4611118882
A. Martyniuk10
LSep 25 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.3611115113A. Martyniuk3.00841181WSep 25 · 07:00Y. Kovshun1.7391111882A. Martyniuk2.00118511113LSep 25 · 05:30A. Martyniuk2.2011671172S. Kyienko1.61811118113LSep 24 · 12:05A. Martyniuk1.807660S. Solomko1.911111113LSep 24 · 10:05O. Leonenko1.83131485113A. Martyniuk1.831112111172WSep 24 · 08:05A. Kurtenko3.25811114102A. Martyniuk1.33118511123LSep 24 · 07:05A. Martyniuk1.40117101182E. Populovskyi2.75811128113WSep 24 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.75117110A. Martyniuk1.401311133LSep 22 · 11:00A. Martyniuk1.839191161Y. Kovshun1.8311218113WSep 22 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4076110A. Martyniuk2.751111133
A. Troyan10
WSep 25 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.73117171A. Troyan2.0091111113LSep 25 · 05:00Y. Kovshun1.501081111113A. Troyan2.5012113882LSep 23 · 11:30A. Troyan1.61111110652O. Karpenko2.20791211113WSep 23 · 09:30I. Emets1.363980A. Troyan3.001111113WSep 23 · 07:30V. Kolesnykov3.003280A. Troyan1.361111113WSep 23 · 06:30A. Troyan1.571311113O. Volynets2.2511980LSep 23 · 05:30D. Khairov2.25116117113A. Troyan1.5781191132WSep 22 · 11:30V. Bilobrov2.753740A. Troyan1.401111113LSep 22 · 10:00A. Troyan2.751176101Y. Kovshun1.4071111123WSep 22 · 08:00A. Martyniuk2.1011118862A. Troyan1.67771111113
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