TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Prokupek vs Kyryl Darin 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114116––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:10 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 58.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 9–12 Kyryl Darin Jaroslav Prokupek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 6h before this match
Darin beat Prokupek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Darin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1455 vs Darin 1510
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Darin 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Darin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +3 · Darin -1
Prokupek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prokupek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.60 / Darin 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Prokupek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13187486
Prokupek1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 96 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it73% 69 of 95
Darin2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 174 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 244
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek4wins
AwayDarin6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek80%4 of 5
AwayDarin100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Prokupek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek5Darin3n = 8Prokupek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekDarinP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.235.9+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1406 vs 773 / 157547.7%49.1%671 / 1406 vs 773 / 1575Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.60/Darin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.3%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 22:00J. Prokupek4191110111K. Darin4111512133
LSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek21261121K. Darin4011117113
LSep 15 · 19:30J. Prokupek199370K. Darin331111113
LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek4715661192K. Darin471311111113
WAug 27 · 10:00J. Prokupek4111811113K. Darin34611981
LAug 23 · 22:00J. Prokupek45611101172K. Darin45115126113
WAug 22 · 12:00J. Prokupek341211113K. Darin2210480
WAug 21 · 19:30J. Prokupek4312119113K. Darin331061161
LAug 17 · 02:00J. Prokupek31761171K. Darin3811115113
WMay 28 · 24:00J. Prokupek4012116113K. Darin261021131
J. Prokupek10
WSep 24 · 02:30J. Trefny1.67101060J. Prokupek2.101212113WSep 24 · 01:00P. Klusacek1.9186140J. Prokupek1.801111163WSep 23 · 23:30J. Prokupek1.9111911113J. Dedek1.80911651LSep 23 · 22:00J. Prokupek1.6791110111K. Darin2.1011512133LSep 23 · 12:59M. Vedmoch1.73641111123J. Prokupek2.00111137102LSep 23 · 12:00J. Prokupek2.004119121M. Vedmoch1.7311411143LSep 23 · 11:30J. Plachy1.8311114113J. Prokupek1.83981141LSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek1.57261121K. Darin2.2511117113WSep 21 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.5711117113L. Krok2.25671151LSep 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.5761151162L. Krok2.25118119113
K. Darin10
LSep 24 · 02:00P. Klusacek1.801111124123K. Darin1.918131011102WSep 24 · 24:30K. Darin2.00111196113J. Dedek1.7388111162LSep 23 · 23:00K. Darin2.6311119432J. Trefny1.44491111113WSep 23 · 22:00J. Prokupek1.6791110111K. Darin2.1011512133LSep 23 · 13:28K. Darin2.2581191162J. Plachy1.57119119113WSep 23 · 12:30K. Darin2.38101111113J. Plachy1.53128851WSep 23 · 11:00K. Darin2.50117811113M. Vedmoch1.5041111772WSep 23 · 10:00J. Prokupek1.57261121K. Darin2.2511117113LSep 21 · 16:58K. Darin1.836912121Y. Holovatiuk1.83111110143LSep 21 · 16:00J. Plachy1.531112113K. Darin2.3881050
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