Tomas Kanka vs Martin Vana 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Tomas Kanka

Home

2.50

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

711811151312101012

Martin Vana

Away

1.50

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Martin Vana below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 15-13

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 10-12

Point 109 set 5, 10-12

109 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Kanka 0–3 Martin Vana Tomas Kanka has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 0–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vana

Kanka 2.50/Vana 1.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

2–3

Vana won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kanka: form 80%, the price implies 40%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKanka 2.50 / Vana 1.50

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Vana beat Kanka 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeKanka0wins

AwayVana3wins

1 of 3 to a deciderVana leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kanka1Vana2n = 3Vana took 2 of 3

S2Kanka3Vana0n = 3Kanka took 3 of 3

S3Kanka0Vana3n = 3Vana took 3 of 3

S4Kanka0Vana3n = 3Vana took 3 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away133%

1–3Four sets, away267%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricKankaVanaK − VBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.742.0−5.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKankaVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 396 vs 76 / 14148.2%53.9%191 / 396 vs 76 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match

Setka Cup · #13286788

Kanka2.50

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 37 of 105

Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40

Vana1.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 29 of 44

Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28

Tomas Kanka vs Martin Vana 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Tomas Kanka vs Martin Vana 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.