Lukas Zustina vs Dominik Stefek 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 21 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Lukas Zustina

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119117611119––

Dominik Stefek

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingLukas Zustina above · Dominik Stefek below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 75 set 4, 11-9

75 points played in total.

H2H Lukas Zustina 2–1 Dominik Stefek Dominik Stefek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 2–1Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stefek

Zustina 1.80/Stefek 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Zustina won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stefek: form 40%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZustina 1.80 / Stefek 1.909

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Zustina beat Stefek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeZustina2wins

AwayStefek1wins

Zustina leads 2–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zustina1Stefek2n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3

S2Zustina3Stefek0n = 3Zustina took 3 of 3

S3Zustina1Stefek2n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3

S4Zustina2Stefek1n = 3Zustina took 2 of 3

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home267%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away133%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricZustinaStefekZ − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.737.0+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZustinaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 129 vs 69 / 14346.5%48.3%60 / 129 vs 69 / 143Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.3per match

TT Cup · #13286679

Zustina1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite38% won 16 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7

Up 1–0, closes it53% 10 of 19

Stefek1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog52% won 34 of 66

Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18

Lukas Zustina vs Dominik Stefek 3-1 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Lukas Zustina vs Dominik Stefek 3-1 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.