Oleksandr Kolos vs Denis Aldayev 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksandr Kolos

Home

1.20

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1141191412––––

Denis Aldayev

Away

4.33

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Denis Aldayev below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 14-12

Point 61 set 3, 14-12

61 points played in total.

H2H Oleksandr Kolos 32–17 Denis Aldayev Denis Aldayev has won 17 of their 49 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kolos

Kolos 1.20/Aldayev 4.33

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–0

Kolos won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Aldayev: form 80%, the price implies 23%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKolos 1.20 / Aldayev 4.333

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Kolos beat Aldayev 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKolos6wins

AwayAldayev4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKolos66.7%4 of 6

AwayAldayev50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kolos6Aldayev4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10

S2Kolos6Aldayev4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10

S3Kolos7Aldayev3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10

S4Kolos3Aldayev3n = 6split evenly

S5Kolos1Aldayev2n = 3Aldayev took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKolosAldayevK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.535.3+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKolosAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 310 vs 117 / 27652.9%42.4%164 / 310 vs 117 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.3per match

Setka Cup · #13285819

Kolos1.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite74% won 67 of 91

Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59

Aldayev4.33

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog31% won 26 of 83

Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 46

Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31

Oleksandr Kolos vs Denis Aldayev 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksandr Kolos vs Denis Aldayev 3-0 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.