Jan Manhal Jr vs Milan Flesar 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 43 - B3 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Manhal Jr

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

7111161210611118

Milan Flesar

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Milan Flesar below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 93 set 5, 11-8

93 points played in total.

H2H Jan Manhal Jr 4–5 Milan Flesar Jan Manhal Jr has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 4–5Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Flesar

Manhal Jr 2.00/Flesar 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–2

Manhal Jr won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Flesar: form 40%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsManhal Jr 2.00 / Flesar 1.727

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Manhal Jr beat Flesar 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeManhal Jr4wins

AwayFlesar5wins

4 of 9 to a deciderFlesar leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeManhal Jr25%1 of 4

AwayFlesar40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Manhal Jr4Flesar5n = 9Flesar took 5 of 9

S2Manhal Jr5Flesar4n = 9Manhal Jr took 5 of 9

S3Manhal Jr3Flesar6n = 9Flesar took 6 of 9

S4Manhal Jr2Flesar5n = 7Flesar took 5 of 7

S5Manhal Jr3Flesar1n = 4Manhal Jr took 3 of 4

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home333%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away333%

0–3Straight, away111%

These 9 meetings

MetricManhal JrFlesarM − FBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.740.8−3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricManhal JrFlesarBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 85 vs 256 / 49044.7%52.2%38 / 85 vs 256 / 490Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.8per match

TT Cup · #13285813

Manhal Jr2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog41% won 17 of 42

Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Flesar1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite62% won 79 of 128

Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53

Up 1–0, closes it79% 67 of 85

Jan Manhal Jr vs Milan Flesar 3-2 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Manhal Jr vs Milan Flesar 3-2 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.