Jakub Wozniak vs Kamil Rudomina 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 13Finished

Jakub Wozniak

Home

2.63

At publish

Lost last 11

Form at publish

0–10Last 10Lost last 11

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1171412711118––

Kamil Rudomina

Away

1.44

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:20 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%

Graded at full time

Kamil Rudomina to win

64.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJakub Wozniak above · Kamil Rudomina below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 14-12

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 81 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Kamil Rudomina at 64.9%

81 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Wozniak 18–31 Kamil Rudomina Jakub Wozniak has won 18 of their 49 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Rudomina

Wozniak 2.63/Rudomina 1.44

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.9%

Rudomina · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Wozniak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:20

64.9%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 4.4pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Rudomina

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

18-31 in 49

Rudomina

Wrong

gap of 13 in 49, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wozniak 1277 vs Rudomina 1468

Rudomina

Wrong

both rated, 191 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wozniak 0% vs Rudomina 60%

Rudomina

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wozniak 0% vs Rudomina 60%

Rudomina

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Wozniak -11 · Rudomina -2

Wozniak

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Rudomina) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wozniak: form 0%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWozniak 2.625 / Rudomina 1.444

Signal prob.35% / 65%

Edge (Rudomina)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWozniak4wins

AwayRudomina6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderRudomina leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWozniak80%4 of 5

AwayRudomina100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wozniak5Rudomina5n = 10split evenly

S2Wozniak3Rudomina7n = 10Rudomina took 7 of 10

S3Wozniak3Rudomina7n = 10Rudomina took 7 of 10

S4Wozniak3Rudomina5n = 8Rudomina took 5 of 8

S5Wozniak3Rudomina1n = 4Wozniak took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricWozniakRudominaW − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.940.9−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWozniakRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 538 vs 962 / 207445.2%46.4%243 / 538 vs 962 / 2074Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match

TT Elite Series · #13284669

Wozniak2.63

0%won 0 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 11

oldest → newest

0%takes the first set · 0 of 10

As underdog31% won 36 of 116

Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40

Rudomina1.44

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite63% won 202 of 323

Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100

Up 1–0, closes it78% 145 of 185

Jakub Wozniak vs Kamil Rudomina 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Jakub Wozniak vs Kamil Rudomina 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.