Simon Matousch vs Ondrej Knazik 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupCzech 3 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Simon Matousch

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1614119117––––

Ondrej Knazik

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Ondrej Knazik to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingSimon Matousch above · Ondrej Knazik below

Set 1 · 16-14

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 68 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Ondrej Knazik at 57.7%

68 points played in total.

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Knazik

Matousch 2.20/Knazik 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.7%

Knazik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Matousch won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:44

57.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 4.2pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Knazik

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Matousch 1382 vs Knazik 1471

Knazik

Wrong

both rated, 89 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Matousch 40% vs Knazik 60%

Knazik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Matousch 60% vs Knazik 30%

Matousch

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Matousch -2 · Knazik -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Knazik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMatousch 2.20 / Knazik 1.615

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Knazik)-4.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMatouschKnazikBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 336 vs 421 / 82244.4%51.2%149 / 336 vs 421 / 822Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match

TT Cup · #13281874

Matousch2.20

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog35% won 29 of 84

Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 46

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25

Knazik1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 62 of 114

Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37

Up 1–0, closes it62% 43 of 69

Simon Matousch vs Ondrej Knazik 3-0 · TT Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Simon Matousch vs Ondrej Knazik 3-0 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.