Mykyta Fomin vs Danylo Us 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Mykyta Fomin

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

118911119114––

Danylo Us

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Mykyta Fomin to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Danylo Us below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 74 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.0%

74 points played in total.

H2H Mykyta Fomin 7–7 Danylo Us Dead even across their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Fomin

Fomin 1.80/Us 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Fomin · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Fomin won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:56

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Fomin

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-7 in 14

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Fomin 1475 vs Us 1415

Fomin

Correct

both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fomin 80% vs Us 20%

Fomin

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fomin 70% vs Us 40%

Fomin

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Fomin +1 · Us -4

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Us: form 20%, the price implies 52%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFomin 1.80 / Us 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Fomin)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFomin5wins

AwayUs5wins

1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFomin80%4 of 5

AwayUs80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fomin5Us5n = 10split evenly

S2Fomin5Us5n = 10split evenly

S3Fomin6Us4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10

S4Fomin1Us3n = 4Us took 3 of 4

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricFominUsF − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.135.10.0per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFominUsBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 626 vs 204 / 47248.4%43.2%303 / 626 vs 204 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281755

Fomin1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite49% won 39 of 80

Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it60% 25 of 42

Us1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog38% won 50 of 133

Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43

Mykyta Fomin vs Danylo Us 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Mykyta Fomin vs Danylo Us 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.