Danylo Us vs Serhii Khandetskyi 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Danylo Us

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

6115111113––––

Serhii Khandetskyi

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Serhii Khandetskyi to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingDanylo Us above · Serhii Khandetskyi below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 57 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 60.5%

57 points played in total.

H2H Danylo Us 27–29 Serhii Khandetskyi Danylo Us has won 27 of their 56 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Khandetskyi

Us 2.20/Khandetskyi 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Khandetskyi won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:00

60.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Khandetskyi

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

27-29 in 56

Khandetskyi

Correct

gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Us 1440 vs Khandetskyi 1537

Khandetskyi

Correct

both rated, 97 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Us 60% vs Khandetskyi 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Us 50% vs Khandetskyi 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Us -2 · Khandetskyi +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Khandetskyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Us: form 60%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsUs 2.20 / Khandetskyi 1.615

Signal prob.40% / 61%

Edge (Khandetskyi)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeUs3wins

AwayKhandetskyi7wins

Khandetskyi leads 7–3.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeUs40%2 of 5

AwayKhandetskyi80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Us5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly

S2Us4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10

S3Us4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10

S4Us2Khandetskyi6n = 8Khandetskyi took 6 of 8

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away660%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricUsKhandetskyiU − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.5−4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricUsKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 470 vs 404 / 80743.4%50.1%204 / 470 vs 404 / 807Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281627

Us2.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 50 of 133

Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 75

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43

Khandetskyi1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite54% won 67 of 125

Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33

Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66

Danylo Us vs Serhii Khandetskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Danylo Us vs Serhii Khandetskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.