TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Peretiatko vs Serhii Khandetskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177119111315––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:00 and never touched: 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 84 set 4, 13-15 · our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 75.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 5–19 Serhii Khandetskyi Andrii Peretiatko has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:0075.1%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
clears by 1.7pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1419 vs Khandetskyi 1548
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Khandetskyi 80%
Khandetskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 60% vs Khandetskyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -1 · Khandetskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Khandetskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 3.00 / Khandetskyi 1.363
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+1.7pp
Setka Cup · #13261037
Peretiatko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 82 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Khandetskyi1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 49 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko2wins
AwayKhandetskyi8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko25%1 of 4
AwayKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko4Khandetskyi6n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Peretiatko2Khandetskyi8n = 10Khandetskyi took 8 of 10
S3Peretiatko5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Peretiatko1Khandetskyi5n = 6Khandetskyi took 5 of 6
S5Peretiatko1Khandetskyi2n = 3Khandetskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoKhandetskyiP − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.640.1−7.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 775 vs 403 / 80545.7%50.1%354 / 775 vs 403 / 805Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiPeretiatko 3.00/Khandetskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 23:35A. Peretiatko28381161S. Khandetskyi4211119113
LSep 28 · 20:25A. Peretiatko34951191S. Khandetskyi3511112113
LSep 28 · 02:35A. Peretiatko3511231182S. Khandetskyi50911118113
WAug 18 · 14:25A. Peretiatko51411115203S. Khandetskyi56117911182
LJun 18 · 14:55A. Peretiatko229490S. Khandetskyi331111113
LSep 4 · 13:25A. Peretiatko27124561S. Khandetskyi43101111113
LAug 28 · 00:05A. Peretiatko133550S. Khandetskyi331111113
WAug 15 · 00:25A. Peretiatko341112113S. Khandetskyi1801080
LJul 1 · 02:35A. Peretiatko561391110132S. Khandetskyi561111712153
LJun 29 · 21:35A. Peretiatko2611870S. Khandetskyi351311113
A. Peretiatko10
LOct 9 · 02:05M. Fomin2.001211133A. Peretiatko1.73105110WOct 9 · 00:05D. Kim1.9111791112A. Peretiatko1.80711119113LOct 8 · 23:05A. Peretiatko2.756990H. Kulishov1.401111113WOct 8 · 22:05M. Skliar2.3867111152A. Peretiatko1.53111188113LOct 6 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.758511111H. Kulishov1.4011117133WOct 6 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.531011871A. Peretiatko2.3812911113WOct 6 · 00:35A. Peretiatko1.733111111123M. Fomin2.00119713102LOct 5 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.4011119113A. Peretiatko2.75381161WOct 5 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.67121011113D. Kim2.101012391WSep 30 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.615119101A. Peretiatko2.2011611123
S. Khandetskyi10
LOct 9 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi2.10617591H. Kulishov1.67111511113WOct 9 · 00:35M. Skliar2.755550S. Khandetskyi1.401111113WOct 8 · 22:35D. Kim1.61106150S. Khandetskyi2.201211173WOct 8 · 21:35M. Fomin1.7311711392S. Khandetskyi2.00411911113WOct 8 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.8387111292S. Khandetskyi1.831111910113WOct 8 · 02:35D. Kim1.611011681S. Khandetskyi2.2012411113LOct 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov2.0091111113S. Khandetskyi1.73118891LOct 7 · 23:05M. Fomin1.671011116123S. Khandetskyi2.10124911102WOct 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.838990S. Khandetskyi1.831111113WOct 5 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.4011119113A. Peretiatko2.75381161
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