TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Hryhorii Kulishov vs Serhii Khandetskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8117111191210911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:30 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 15–19 Serhii Khandetskyi Hryhorii Kulishov has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3054.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1517 vs Khandetskyi 1526
Khandetskyi
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 60% vs Khandetskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 60% vs Khandetskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -1 · Khandetskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.833 / Khandetskyi 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Khandetskyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13256166
Kulishov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Khandetskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwayKhandetskyi5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov83.3%5 of 6
AwayKhandetskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov6Khandetskyi4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S2Kulishov6Khandetskyi4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kulishov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulishov2Khandetskyi3n = 5Khandetskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovKhandetskyiKulishov − KhandetskyiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.732.9+3.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 934 vs 403 / 80652.8%50%493 / 934 vs 403 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKulishov 1.83/Khandetskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 01:05H. Kulishov238960S. Khandetskyi331111113
WOct 5 · 04:05H. Kulishov331111113S. Khandetskyi174580
WSep 29 · 23:05H. Kulishov331111113S. Khandetskyi154740
LSep 28 · 04:05H. Kulishov29118100S. Khandetskyi361311123
WSep 24 · 15:25H. Kulishov331111113S. Khandetskyi176560
LSep 23 · 22:55H. Kulishov4311119662S. Khandetskyi44831111113
WSep 22 · 00:05H. Kulishov4715119123S. Khandetskyi4213811101
LSep 16 · 22:35H. Kulishov4181112101S. Khandetskyi4211514123
LSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov348511101S. Khandetskyi4311119123
WSep 7 · 18:55H. Kulishov51111514113S. Khandetskyi406171251
H. Kulishov10
LOct 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi2.25171153133H. Kulishov1.571591111112WOct 8 · 00:35H. Kulishov1.731111113D. Kim2.007860LOct 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov2.75451111113H. Kulishov1.4011116782WOct 7 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.8341211113M. Fomin1.831110981WOct 6 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.758511111H. Kulishov1.4011117133WOct 6 · 02:35M. Fomin1.8051470H. Kulishov1.911116113LOct 6 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.911111113H. Kulishov1.808960LOct 5 · 23:05D. Kim1.911517113H. Kulishov1.80131580WOct 5 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.75411951H. Kulishov1.4011711113WOct 5 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.831111113S. Khandetskyi1.834580
S. Khandetskyi10
WOct 8 · 02:35D. Kim1.611011681S. Khandetskyi2.2012411113LOct 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov2.0091111113S. Khandetskyi1.73118891LOct 7 · 23:05M. Fomin1.671011116123S. Khandetskyi2.10124911102WOct 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.838990S. Khandetskyi1.831111113WOct 6 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.001011541S. Khandetskyi1.7312511113LOct 6 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.001161051D. Kim1.7381112113WOct 6 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.911111113H. Kulishov1.808960WOct 5 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.4011119113A. Peretiatko2.75381161LOct 5 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.738890M. Fomin2.001111113LOct 5 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.831111113S. Khandetskyi1.834580
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