TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Hryhorii Kulishov vs Dmitriy Kim 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:34 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 104–118 Dmitriy Kim Hryhorii Kulishov has won 104 of their 222 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:3454.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.4pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
104-118 in 222
Kim
Wrong
gap of 14 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1518 vs Kim 1505
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 60% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -1 · Kim -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kulishov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.727 / Kim 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Kulishov)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13256037
Kulishov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 196 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it97% 113 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it76% 152 of 199
Kim2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 131 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back36% 63 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov3wins
AwayKim7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov50%2 of 4
AwayKim83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Kulishov2Kim8n = 10Kim took 8 of 10
S3Kulishov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulishov2Kim5n = 7Kim took 5 of 7
S5Kulishov2Kim2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovKimKulishov − KimBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.1−1.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 932 vs 491 / 101052.8%48.6%492 / 932 vs 491 / 1010Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.73/Kim 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 23:05H. Kulishov36131580D. Kim431517113
LOct 4 · 22:05H. Kulishov48116111192D. Kim51811138113
LSep 30 · 04:05H. Kulishov2911990D. Kim351311113
WSep 28 · 21:05H. Kulishov5310111110113D. Kim4612691272
LSep 27 · 22:05H. Kulishov376111191D. Kim4211137113
LSep 21 · 22:35H. Kulishov50119145112D. Kim558111211133
WSep 21 · 04:05H. Kulishov4211911113D. Kim31811661
LSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov355131071D. Kim45111112113
WSep 16 · 21:35H. Kulishov44114117113D. Kim3751171132
LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov29111080D. Kim361312113
H. Kulishov10
LOct 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov2.75451111113H. Kulishov1.4011116782WOct 7 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.8341211113M. Fomin1.831110981WOct 6 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.758511111H. Kulishov1.4011117133WOct 6 · 02:35M. Fomin1.8051470H. Kulishov1.911116113LOct 6 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.911111113H. Kulishov1.808960LOct 5 · 23:05D. Kim1.911517113H. Kulishov1.80131580WOct 5 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.75411951H. Kulishov1.4011711113WOct 5 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.831111113S. Khandetskyi1.834580WOct 5 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi2.3876111162H. Kulishov1.53111147113LOct 5 · 00:05Y. Stepanchuk1.8312711113H. Kulishov1.831011951
D. Kim10
LOct 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi2.1016119113D. Kim1.671491161WOct 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.738690D. Kim2.001111113LOct 6 · 04:05D. Kim1.57111481192M. Fomin2.25716112113WOct 6 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.001161051D. Kim1.7381112113WOct 6 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov1.73116971D. Kim2.0091111113WOct 5 · 23:05D. Kim1.911517113H. Kulishov1.80131580LOct 5 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.67121011113D. Kim2.101012391LOct 5 · 03:35D. Kim2.505490S. Pitsyk1.501111113WOct 5 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.91108111182D. Kim1.80121174113LOct 5 · 00:35D. Kim1.5389140S. Khandetskyi2.381111163
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