TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Khandetskyi vs Dmitriy Kim 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1186111012511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:03 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Dmitriy Kim at 54.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 7–13 Dmitriy Kim Serhii Khandetskyi has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:0354.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Kim
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1538 vs Kim 1511
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 70% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +2 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Kim) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 2.00 / Kim 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kim)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13244620
Khandetskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 73 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Kim1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi5wins
AwayKim5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayKim100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi6Kim4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Khandetskyi4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Khandetskyi3Kim1n = 4Khandetskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiKimKhandetskyi − KimBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.4+0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiKimBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 804 vs 492 / 101449.9%48.5%401 / 804 vs 492 / 1014Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KimKhandetskyi 2.00/Kim 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 00:35S. Khandetskyi381111163D. Kim3189140
LOct 1 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi25111040D. Kim361312113
WSep 30 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi3811511113D. Kim26111771
LSep 28 · 00:35S. Khandetskyi34118781D. Kim4291111113
WSep 22 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi511361011113D. Kim45111112562
LSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi228950D. Kim331111113
WMay 21 · 00:35S. Khandetskyi361211133D. Kim28107110
LMay 15 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi4891181462D. Kim521171112113
WMay 13 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi351311113D. Kim2511590
LMay 8 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi29111080D. Kim361312113
S. Khandetskyi10
WOct 6 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.911111113H. Kulishov1.808960WOct 5 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi1.4011119113A. Peretiatko2.75381161LOct 5 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.738890M. Fomin2.001111113LOct 5 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.831111113S. Khandetskyi1.834580LOct 5 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi1.837950S. Pitsyk1.831111113WOct 5 · 00:35D. Kim1.5389140S. Khandetskyi2.381111163WOct 4 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6710812111S. Khandetskyi2.10121110133WOct 4 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi1.91911111072S. Khandetskyi1.80119712113WOct 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk1.57811661S. Khandetskyi2.2511611113WOct 2 · 02:35M. Fomin1.8049140S. Khandetskyi1.911111163
D. Kim10
WOct 6 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov1.73116971D. Kim2.0091111113WOct 5 · 23:05D. Kim1.911517113H. Kulishov1.80131580LOct 5 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.67121011113D. Kim2.101012391LOct 5 · 03:35D. Kim2.505490S. Pitsyk1.501111113WOct 5 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.91108111182D. Kim1.80121174113LOct 5 · 00:35D. Kim1.5389140S. Khandetskyi2.381111163WOct 4 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.91114591D. Kim1.8081111113WOct 4 · 22:05D. Kim1.91811138113H. Kulishov1.80116111192LOct 2 · 04:05D. Kim1.57121211972M. Fomin2.251410711113WOct 2 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.83121011161D. Kim1.8314127183
Upcoming Matches
S. Khandetskyi
Nothing scheduled
D. Kim
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