TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitriy Kim vs Mykyta Fomin 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171416811112911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:04 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Dmitriy Kim @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Dmitriy Kim at 61.7%
100 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 39–17 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 17 of their 56 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 03:0461.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
39-17 in 56
Kim
Wrong
gap of 22 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1523 vs Fomin 1386
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Fomin 40%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 60% vs Fomin 40%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +3 · Fomin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Kim) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.571 / Fomin 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kim)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245155
Kim1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Fomin2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 235
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim6wins
AwayFomin4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim66.7%4 of 6
AwayFomin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim6Fomin4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Kim7Fomin3n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S3Kim4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Kim6Fomin4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S5Kim2Fomin3n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimFominK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.239.7+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimFominBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 1014 vs 293 / 61248.5%47.9%492 / 1014 vs 293 / 612Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.57/Fomin 2.25
Miss
What we said
61.7%
Kim · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Dmitriy Kim @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
2–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 04:05D. Kim51121211972M. Fomin531410711113
WSep 29 · 01:35D. Kim3911116113M. Fomin28531191
WSep 25 · 03:05D. Kim43101111113M. Fomin31128651
LSep 24 · 04:05D. Kim291151031M. Fomin4061112113
WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim515101111143M. Fomin48111249122
WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim4111118113M. Fomin24361141
WSep 11 · 00:35D. Kim44117114113M. Fomin4081171132
LSep 10 · 02:35D. Kim4811118992M. Fomin47861111113
WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim4311129113M. Fomin346101171
LSep 3 · 23:05D. Kim531211911102M. Fomin52146119123
D. Kim10
WOct 6 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi2.001161051D. Kim1.7381112113WOct 6 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov1.73116971D. Kim2.0091111113WOct 5 · 23:05D. Kim1.911517113H. Kulishov1.80131580LOct 5 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.67121011113D. Kim2.101012391LOct 5 · 03:35D. Kim2.505490S. Pitsyk1.501111113WOct 5 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.91108111182D. Kim1.80121174113LOct 5 · 00:35D. Kim1.5389140S. Khandetskyi2.381111163WOct 4 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.91114591D. Kim1.8081111113WOct 4 · 22:05D. Kim1.91811138113H. Kulishov1.80116111192LOct 2 · 04:05D. Kim1.57121211972M. Fomin2.251410711113
M. Fomin10
LOct 6 · 02:35M. Fomin1.8051470H. Kulishov1.911116113LOct 6 · 00:35A. Peretiatko1.733111111123M. Fomin2.00119713102LOct 5 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.44114811143M. Fomin2.63711117122WOct 5 · 21:35S. Khandetskyi1.738890M. Fomin2.001111113WOct 2 · 04:05D. Kim1.57121211972M. Fomin2.251410711113LOct 2 · 02:35M. Fomin1.8049140S. Khandetskyi1.911111163LOct 2 · 00:35Y. Stepanchuk1.571291611113M. Fomin2.25141114942WOct 1 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.8371040M. Fomin1.831112113LOct 1 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.4411117113M. Fomin2.63881181WSep 30 · 20:25M. Fomin2.10891111113M. Skliar1.6711117652
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