Mykhailo Skliar vs Mykyta Fomin 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Mykhailo Skliar

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

10121210119117––

Mykyta Fomin

Away

1.62

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Mykyta Fomin to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Mykyta Fomin below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 82 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Mykyta Fomin at 60.5%

82 points played in total.

H2H Mykhailo Skliar 7–5 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Fomin

Skliar 2.20/Fomin 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.5%

Fomin · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Skliar won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 02:56

60.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Fomin

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-5 in 12

Skliar

Correct

gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Skliar 1279 vs Fomin 1485

Fomin

Wrong

both rated, 206 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skliar 20% vs Fomin 80%

Fomin

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skliar 20% vs Fomin 70%

Fomin

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Skliar -1 · Fomin +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fomin: form 80%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkliar 2.20 / Fomin 1.615

Signal prob.40% / 61%

Edge (Fomin)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSkliar6wins

AwayFomin4wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSkliar leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSkliar60%3 of 5

AwayFomin40%2 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Skliar5Fomin5n = 10split evenly

S2Skliar7Fomin3n = 10Skliar took 7 of 10

S3Skliar3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10

S4Skliar6Fomin2n = 8Skliar took 6 of 8

S5Skliar3Fomin3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSkliarFominS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.8+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkliarFominBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 188 vs 304 / 62743.6%48.5%82 / 188 vs 304 / 627Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281862

Skliar2.20

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog29% won 33 of 114

Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39

Fomin1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite49% won 39 of 80

Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it60% 25 of 42

Mykhailo Skliar vs Mykyta Fomin 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Mykhailo Skliar vs Mykyta Fomin 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.