Mykyta Fomin vs Serhii Khandetskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 13Finished

Mykyta Fomin

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

113115114––––

Serhii Khandetskyi

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:57 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%

Graded at full time

Serhii Khandetskyi to win

54.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Serhii Khandetskyi below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-4

Point 45 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 54.7%

45 points played in total.

H2H Mykyta Fomin 5–2 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 5–2Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Khandetskyi

Fomin 1.91/Khandetskyi 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.7%

Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Fomin won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:57

54.7%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 0.9pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Khandetskyi

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-2 in 7

Fomin

Correct

gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Fomin 1458 vs Khandetskyi 1548

Khandetskyi

Wrong

both rated, 90 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Fomin 80% vs Khandetskyi 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Fomin 70% vs Khandetskyi 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Fomin -1 · Khandetskyi +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Khandetskyi) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Khandetskyi: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFomin 1.909 / Khandetskyi 1.80

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Khandetskyi)-0.9pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeFomin5wins

AwayKhandetskyi2wins

3 of 7 to a deciderFomin leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFomin80%4 of 5

AwayKhandetskyin = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fomin5Khandetskyi2n = 7Fomin took 5 of 7

S2Fomin4Khandetskyi3n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7

S3Fomin4Khandetskyi3n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7

S4Fomin2Khandetskyi3n = 5Khandetskyi took 3 of 5

S5Fomin2Khandetskyi1n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home229%

3–2Decider, home229%

2–3Decider, away114%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricFominKhandetskyiF − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.737.4+3.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFominKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 625 vs 405 / 80848.3%50.1%302 / 625 vs 405 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match

Setka Cup · #13281622

Fomin1.91

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 95 of 236

Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 121

Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72

Khandetskyi1.80

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite54% won 67 of 125

Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33

Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66

Mykyta Fomin vs Serhii Khandetskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Mykyta Fomin vs Serhii Khandetskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.