Viktor Sharpai vs Oleksii Korobov 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Viktor Sharpai

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1151311911116––

Oleksii Korobov

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:22 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%

Graded at full time

Oleksii Korobov to win

60.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Oleksii Korobov below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 77 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Oleksii Korobov at 60.1%

77 points played in total.

H2H Viktor Sharpai 4–5 Oleksii Korobov Viktor Sharpai has won 4 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 4–5Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Korobov

Sharpai 2.25/Korobov 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.1%

Korobov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Sharpai won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:22

60.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 3.6pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Korobov

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

4-5 in 9

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sharpai 1420 vs Korobov 1530

Korobov

Wrong

both rated, 110 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sharpai 40% vs Korobov 80%

Korobov

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sharpai 50% vs Korobov 80%

Korobov

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sharpai -2 · Korobov +3

Korobov

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Korobov) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Korobov: form 80%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSharpai 2.25 / Korobov 1.571

Signal prob.40% / 60%

Edge (Korobov)-3.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeSharpai4wins

AwayKorobov5wins

2 of 9 to a deciderKorobov leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSharpai50%2 of 4

AwayKorobov60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sharpai4Korobov5n = 9Korobov took 5 of 9

S2Sharpai6Korobov3n = 9Sharpai took 6 of 9

S3Sharpai2Korobov7n = 9Korobov took 7 of 9

S4Sharpai3Korobov6n = 9Korobov took 6 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home222%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away556%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricSharpaiKorobovS − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.240.8−2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSharpaiKorobovBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 519 vs 103 / 16545.5%62.4%236 / 519 vs 103 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match

Setka Cup · #13281674

Sharpai2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog29% won 10 of 34

Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Korobov1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite70% won 59 of 84

Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52

Viktor Sharpai vs Oleksii Korobov 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Viktor Sharpai vs Oleksii Korobov 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.