Viktor Sharpai vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Viktor Sharpai

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

119811911511––

Volodymyr Hainiuk

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Viktor Sharpai to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 75 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Viktor Sharpai at 58.9%

75 points played in total.

H2H Viktor Sharpai 19–14 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 14 of their 33 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sharpai

Sharpai 1.61/Hainiuk 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.9%

Sharpai · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Hainiuk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:13

58.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 3.0pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Sharpai

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

19-14 in 33

Sharpai

Wrong

gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sharpai 1429 vs Hainiuk 1390

Sharpai

Wrong

both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sharpai 40% vs Hainiuk 60%

Hainiuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sharpai 60% vs Hainiuk 40%

Sharpai

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sharpai +1 · Hainiuk +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Sharpai) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hainiuk: form 60%, the price implies 45%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSharpai 1.615 / Hainiuk 2.20

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Sharpai)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSharpai6wins

AwayHainiuk4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSharpai leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSharpai75%6 of 8

AwayHainiukn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sharpai8Hainiuk2n = 10Sharpai took 8 of 10

S2Sharpai5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly

S3Sharpai6Hainiuk4n = 10Sharpai took 6 of 10

S4Sharpai3Hainiuk3n = 6split evenly

S5Sharpai1Hainiuk2n = 3Hainiuk took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSharpaiHainiukS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.537.0+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSharpaiHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 516 vs 359 / 67045.5%53.6%235 / 516 vs 359 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281530

Sharpai1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite55% won 67 of 123

Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73

Hainiuk2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog35% won 50 of 142

Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85

Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51

Viktor Sharpai vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Viktor Sharpai vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.