Oleksii Korobov vs Vitalii Kaganovych 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Oleksii Korobov

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

611911711––––

Vitalii Kaganovych

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched: 69.9% is still 69.9%

Graded at full time

Oleksii Korobov to win

69.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 55 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Oleksii Korobov at 69.9%

55 points played in total.

H2H Oleksii Korobov 11–6 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 6 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Korobov

Korobov 1.40/Kaganovych 2.75

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

69.9%

Korobov · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kaganovych won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:49

69.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40

short by 1.5pp

71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Korobov

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

11-6 in 17

Korobov

Wrong

gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Korobov 1535 vs Kaganovych 1358

Korobov

Wrong

both rated, 177 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Korobov 80% vs Kaganovych 0%

Korobov

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Korobov 60% vs Kaganovych 30%

Korobov

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Korobov +3 · Kaganovych -5

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Korobov) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kaganovych: form 0%, the price implies 36%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKorobov 1.40 / Kaganovych 2.75

Signal prob.70% / 30%

Edge (Korobov)-1.5pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKorobov7wins

AwayKaganovych3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKorobov85.7%6 of 7

AwayKaganovych66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Korobov7Kaganovych3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10

S2Korobov7Kaganovych3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10

S3Korobov9Kaganovych1n = 10Korobov took 9 of 10

S4Korobov2Kaganovych3n = 5Kaganovych took 3 of 5

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home550%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKorobovKaganovychKorobov − KaganovychBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.629.0+6.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKorobovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 160 vs 329 / 55562.5%59.3%100 / 160 vs 329 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match

Setka Cup · #13281593

Korobov1.40

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 05) · back after a break

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite70% won 59 of 84

Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52

Kaganovych2.75

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 06)

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog38% won 19 of 50

Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16

Oleksii Korobov vs Vitalii Kaganovych 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Oleksii Korobov vs Vitalii Kaganovych 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.