Valentyn Chumak vs Vitalii Kaganovych · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 16:55Scheduled

Valentyn Chumak

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Head to head

45 – 55

All 100 meetings · 45.0%

Last 10 · 5–5

Vitalii Kaganovych

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Compare players

Price verdict

Value · Medium

Valentyn Chumak at 1.909

The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChumak 1.909 / Kaganovych 1.80

Round robin · match 8 of 15

2 of 15 played

Group 13 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Vitalii KaganovychThis match	1–0	3–0	4
2	Ivan Yelfimov	1–0	3–1	4
=	Valentyn ChumakThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Volodymyr Hainiuk	0–0	0–0	5
5	Viktor Sharpai	0–1	1–3	4
6	Oleksii Korobov	0–1	0–3	4

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChumak5wins

AwayKaganovych5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChumak66.7%4 of 6

AwayKaganovych75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chumak6Kaganovych4n = 10Chumak took 6 of 10

S2Chumak5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly

S3Chumak4Kaganovych6n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10

S4Chumak3Kaganovych4n = 7Kaganovych took 4 of 7

S5Chumak2Kaganovych1n = 3Chumak took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricChumakKaganovychC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.6+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChumakKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 560 vs 326 / 55152.5%59.2%294 / 560 vs 326 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match

Setka Cup · #13281872

Chumak1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 55 of 124

Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30

Kaganovych1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite64% won 127 of 199

Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65

Up 1–0, closes it85% 87 of 103

Valentyn Chumak vs Vitalii Kaganovych · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 8 of 15

Round robin before this match

Valentyn Chumak vs Vitalii Kaganovych · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 8 of 15

Round robin before this match