Valentyn Chumak vs Ivan Yelfimov · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Starts 19:55Scheduled

Valentyn Chumak

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 2

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Head to head

2 – 3

All 5 meetings · 40.0%

Last 5 · 2–3Same side

Ivan Yelfimov

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 3

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Both players are 6–4 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Ivan Yelfimov arrives off a win, Valentyn Chumak off a loss.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChumak 2.10 / Yelfimov 1.666

Round robin · match 14 of 15

2 of 15 played

Group 13 of 18 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Vitalii Kaganovych	1–0	3–0	4
2	Ivan YelfimovThis match	1–0	3–1	4
=	Valentyn ChumakThis match	0–0	0–0	5
=	Volodymyr Hainiuk	0–0	0–0	5
5	Viktor Sharpai	0–1	1–3	4
6	Oleksii Korobov	0–1	0–3	4

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeChumak2wins

AwayYelfimov3wins

4 of 5 to a deciderYelfimov leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChumakn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayYelfimov66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chumak2Yelfimov3n = 5Yelfimov took 3 of 5

S2Chumak5Yelfimov0n = 5Chumak took 5 of 5

S3Chumak1Yelfimov4n = 5Yelfimov took 4 of 5

S4Chumak3Yelfimov2n = 5Chumak took 3 of 5

S5Chumak1Yelfimov3n = 4Yelfimov took 3 of 4

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away360%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricChumakYelfimovC − YBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match44.843.0+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChumakYelfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 560 vs 32 / 4652.5%69.6%294 / 560 vs 32 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match

Setka Cup · #13281461

Chumak2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 55 of 124

Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30

Yelfimov1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite75% won 18 of 24

Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Valentyn Chumak vs Ivan Yelfimov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 14 of 15

Round robin before this match

Valentyn Chumak vs Ivan Yelfimov · Setka Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 14 of 15

Round robin before this match