TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Korobov vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:30 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 67.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 11–11 Volodymyr Hainiuk Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1518 vs Hainiuk 1355
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Hainiuk 20%
Korobov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 60% vs Hainiuk 30%
Korobov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov -2 · Hainiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Korobov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hainiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.44 / Hainiuk 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Korobov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13207680
Korobov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 57 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Hainiuk2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov7wins
AwayHainiuk3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKorobov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov85.7%6 of 7
AwayHainiuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Hainiuk3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S3Korobov8Hainiuk2n = 10Korobov took 8 of 10
S4Korobov2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovHainiukK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.631.5+4.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 153 vs 359 / 66962.1%53.7%95 / 153 vs 359 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.44/Hainiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov30781141V. Hainiuk4011117113
LSep 14 · 15:35O. Korobov3511115172V. Hainiuk47951111113
WSep 7 · 15:35O. Korobov331111113V. Hainiuk217950
WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov341111123V. Hainiuk2082100
WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk29101180
LAug 10 · 13:55O. Korobov368711101V. Hainiuk4211118123
WAug 3 · 15:35O. Korobov361213113V. Hainiuk26101150
WJul 27 · 16:25O. Korobov4071111113V. Hainiuk34116981
WJul 21 · 15:35O. Korobov4211119113V. Hainiuk31971141
WJul 13 · 13:55O. Korobov341112113V. Hainiuk2571080
O. Korobov10
WSep 28 · 18:35V. Sharpai2.3810115171O. Korobov1.5312711193LSep 28 · 16:35O. Korobov1.911111351F. Chashchin1.8061311113LSep 28 · 15:05O. Korobov1.73981151A. Lifanov2.0011118113WSep 28 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5391112113V. Kaganovych2.381171061WSep 23 · 19:25O. Korobov1.5711119113V. Slabyshev2.25941171WSep 23 · 17:55O. Korobov1.361111910113V. Chumak3.0035111272WSep 23 · 16:25O. Korobov1.3611812113Y. Bielokon3.008111031WSep 23 · 14:55O. Korobov1.40111367113I. Yelfimov2.75111111182WSep 23 · 13:25O. Korobov1.28111110113V. Sydorenko3.50351261LSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 28 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.53126115113V. Hainiuk2.38101191182WSep 28 · 14:35V. Hainiuk2.00511117143F. Chashchin1.73119811122LSep 28 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.401111113V. Hainiuk2.753660LSep 22 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.8361560I. Yelfimov1.831117113LSep 22 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.671111113V. Hainiuk2.109650LSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.75611491A. Lifanov1.4011811113LSep 22 · 14:25A. Yakovenko1.6711511113V. Hainiuk2.10811961WSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113
Upcoming Matches
O. Korobov
Nothing scheduled
V. Hainiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.