Maksym Khomenko vs Yaroslav Tebenko 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Maksym Khomenko

Home

1.53

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1113411411––––

Yaroslav Tebenko

Away

2.38

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched: 60.2% is still 60.2%

Graded at full time

Maksym Khomenko to win

60.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yaroslav Tebenko below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 4-11

Point 54 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Maksym Khomenko at 60.2%

54 points played in total.

H2H Maksym Khomenko 32–13 Yaroslav Tebenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 13 of their 45 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Khomenko

Khomenko 1.53/Tebenko 2.38

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.2%

Khomenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Tebenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:28

60.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 5.0pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Khomenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

32-13 in 45

Khomenko

Wrong

gap of 19 in 45, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Khomenko 1559 vs Tebenko 1591

Tebenko

Correct

both rated, 31 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Khomenko 20% vs Tebenko 60%

Tebenko

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Khomenko 30% vs Tebenko 50%

Tebenko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Khomenko +1 · Tebenko +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Khomenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Tebenko: form 60%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKhomenko 1.533 / Tebenko 2.375

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Khomenko)-5.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKhomenko7wins

AwayTebenko3wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKhomenko100%6 of 6

AwayTebenko75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Khomenko6Tebenko4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10

S2Khomenko4Tebenko6n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10

S3Khomenko7Tebenko3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10

S4Khomenko5Tebenko3n = 8Khomenko took 5 of 8

S5Khomenko3Tebenko1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricKhomenkoTebenkoK − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.935.8+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKhomenkoTebenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 833 vs 432 / 87452.9%49.4%441 / 833 vs 432 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281411

Khomenko1.53

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite66% won 85 of 129

Up 2–0, closes it100% 52 of 52

Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72

Tebenko2.38

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 124 of 254

Down 0–1, comes back32% 44 of 136

Down 0–2, comes back13% 9 of 72

Maksym Khomenko vs Yaroslav Tebenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Maksym Khomenko vs Yaroslav Tebenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.