Anatolii Kovalenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Anatolii Kovalenko

Home

2.63

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

113711118611119

Serhii Solomko

Away

1.44

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:03 and never touched: 67.7% is still 67.7%

Graded at full time

Serhii Solomko to win

67.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Serhii Solomko below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 88 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 67.7%

88 points played in total.

H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 17–19 Serhii Solomko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 17 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Solomko

Kovalenko 2.63/Solomko 1.44

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

67.7%

Solomko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kovalenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 12:03

67.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444

short by 1.6pp

69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.44 (65%)

Solomko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

17-19 in 36

Solomko

Wrong

gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kovalenko 1422 vs Solomko 1527

Solomko

Wrong

both rated, 105 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kovalenko 60% vs Solomko 40%

Kovalenko

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kovalenko 30% vs Solomko 60%

Solomko

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kovalenko -2 · Solomko -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Solomko: form 40%, the price implies 69%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKovalenko 2.625 / Solomko 1.444

Signal prob.32% / 68%

Edge (Solomko)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKovalenko4wins

AwaySolomko6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKovalenko75%3 of 4

AwaySolomko83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kovalenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10

S2Kovalenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kovalenko7Solomko3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10

S4Kovalenko0Solomko3n = 3Solomko took 3 of 3

S5Kovalenko1Solomko2n = 3Solomko took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricKovalenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.035.4−2.4per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKovalenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 584 vs 549 / 105352.4%52.1%306 / 584 vs 549 / 1053Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281075

Kovalenko2.63

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog41% won 39 of 95

Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 56

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32

Solomko1.44

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite65% won 128 of 196

Up 2–0, closes it91% 69 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it80% 95 of 119

Anatolii Kovalenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Anatolii Kovalenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.