Andrii Kurtenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Andrii Kurtenko

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11131131181210––

Serhii Solomko

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Serhii Solomko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 79 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.0%

79 points played in total.

H2H Andrii Kurtenko 46–33 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 33 of their 79 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Solomko

Kurtenko 1.91/Solomko 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Solomko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kurtenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:34

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Solomko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

46-33 in 79

Kurtenko

Correct

gap of 13 in 79, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kurtenko 1461 vs Solomko 1556

Solomko

Wrong

both rated, 95 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kurtenko 40% vs Solomko 80%

Solomko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kurtenko 50% vs Solomko 70%

Solomko

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kurtenko -2 · Solomko +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Solomko: form 80%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKurtenko 1.909 / Solomko 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Solomko)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKurtenko6wins

AwaySolomko4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKurtenko71.4%5 of 7

AwaySolomko66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kurtenko7Solomko3n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10

S2Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kurtenko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10

S4Kurtenko3Solomko5n = 8Solomko took 5 of 8

S5Kurtenko2Solomko1n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.942.9−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 681 vs 549 / 105152.3%52.2%356 / 681 vs 549 / 1051Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281082

Kurtenko1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog40% won 50 of 126

Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 66

Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38

Solomko1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite65% won 128 of 196

Up 2–0, closes it91% 69 of 76

Up 1–0, closes it80% 95 of 119

Andrii Kurtenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Andrii Kurtenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.