Richard Krejci vs Karel Brozhik 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 13Finished

Richard Krejci

Home

2.20

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1113118117611113

Karel Brozhik

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%

Graded at full time

Karel Brozhik to win

59.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Karel Brozhik below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 11-3

Point 92 set 5, 11-3 · our read held Karel Brozhik at 59.3%

92 points played in total.

H2H Richard Krejci 2–5 Karel Brozhik Richard Krejci has won 2 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 2–5Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Brozhik

Krejci 2.20/Brozhik 1.61

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.3%

Brozhik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Krejci won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:57

59.3%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 2.6pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Brozhik

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

2-5 in 7

Brozhik

Wrong

gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Krejci 1604 vs Brozhik 1620

Brozhik

Wrong

both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Krejci 60% vs Brozhik 80%

Brozhik

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Krejci 70% vs Brozhik 80%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Krejci -2 · Brozhik -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Brozhik) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Brozhik: form 80%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKrejci 2.20 / Brozhik 1.615

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Brozhik)-2.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeKrejci2wins

AwayBrozhik5wins

3 of 7 to a deciderBrozhik leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKrejci40%2 of 5

AwayBrozhikn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Krejci5Brozhik2n = 7Krejci took 5 of 7

S2Krejci4Brozhik3n = 7Krejci took 4 of 7

S3Krejci3Brozhik4n = 7Brozhik took 4 of 7

S4Krejci1Brozhik4n = 5Brozhik took 4 of 5

S5Krejci0Brozhik3n = 3Brozhik took 3 of 3

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away343%

1–3Four sets, away114%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricKrejciBrozhikK − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.941.3−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKrejciBrozhikBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 382 vs 342 / 69653.1%49.1%203 / 382 vs 342 / 696Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280446

Krejci2.20

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog43% won 42 of 97

Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48

Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 27

Brozhik1.61

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 51 of 90

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44

Richard Krejci vs Karel Brozhik 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Richard Krejci vs Karel Brozhik 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.