TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Karel Brozhik vs Jaroslav Prokupek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
211118911114119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:11 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeKarel Brozhik to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Brozhik above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Karel Brozhik at 63.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Karel Brozhik 1–0 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:1163.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brozhik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozhik 1582 vs Prokupek 1495
Brozhik
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozhik 60% vs Prokupek 40%
Brozhik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozhik 30% vs Prokupek 50%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozhik +1 · Prokupek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Brozhik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozhik 1.50 / Prokupek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Brozhik)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264038
Brozhik1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 47 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Prokupek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 89 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozhik1wins
AwayProkupek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBrozhik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozhikProkupekB − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match44.043.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozhikProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 688 vs 663 / 139348.8%47.6%336 / 688 vs 663 / 1393Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozhikBrozhik 1.50/Prokupek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Brozhik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brozhik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 10 · 00:30K. Brozhik44211911113J. Prokupek4311811492
K. Brozhik10
WOct 9 · 23:00K. Brozhik1.501111811113R. Krejci2.5013311672LOct 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.8011413113K. Brozhik1.917111161WOct 8 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke2.0048121182K. Brozhik1.731111106113WOct 8 · 02:00K. Brozhik1.5771113113F. Just2.251151151LOct 8 · 01:00K. Brozhik1.617770V. Cermak2.201111113LOct 8 · 00:00M. Vizek1.67111186123K. Brozhik2.10681111102LOct 7 · 22:30A. Hlawatschke1.8071111123K. Brozhik1.911187101LOct 5 · 20:58M. Vedmoch2.501111113K. Brozhik1.504940LOct 5 · 20:30K. Brozhik1.337111151M. Vedmoch3.2511813113LOct 5 · 19:00K. Brozhik1.4461111962T. Janata2.63114611113
J. Prokupek10
WOct 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.5091111772J. Prokupek2.50116311113LOct 9 · 22:30J. Prokupek2.0010740J. Plachy1.731211113WOct 9 · 16:59T. Janata1.5771111982J. Prokupek2.25118711113LOct 9 · 16:30J. Prokupek2.20911651T. Janata1.6111911113LOct 9 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.00712121192M. Vesely1.731110144113LOct 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.571111113J. Prokupek2.255960WOct 8 · 21:30T. Dousa1.7310870J. Prokupek2.001211113WOct 8 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.611011311113L. Krok2.2012611992WOct 8 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.91117311113T. Dousa1.8051111762LOct 8 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk2.001211114113J. Prokupek1.7314781182
Upcoming Matches
K. Brozhik
J. Prokupek
Nothing scheduled
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