TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Plachy vs Karel Brozhik 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91112101191113611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:57 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeKarel Brozhik to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Karel Brozhik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 103 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Karel Brozhik at 65.3%
103 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 0–1 Karel Brozhik Jiri Plachy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:5765.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brozhik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1448 vs Brozhik 1588
Brozhik
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 60% vs Brozhik 80%
Brozhik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 40% vs Brozhik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +1 · Brozhik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Brozhik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozhik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.50 / Brozhik 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Brozhik)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264692
Plachy2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 145 of 364
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Brozhik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 47 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePlachy0wins
AwayBrozhik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBrozhik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPlachyBrozhikP − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.054.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyBrozhikBasisWin rate · lifetime739 / 1608 vs 337 / 68946%48.9%739 / 1608 vs 337 / 689Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozhikPlachy 2.50/Brozhik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Brozhik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brozhik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 10 · 02:00J. Plachy49912111162K. Brozhik541110913113
J. Plachy10
LOct 10 · 03:00J. Plachy2.501790M. Vedmoch1.501111113WOct 10 · 01:00J. Plachy2.501111123M. Vedmoch1.5093100LOct 10 · 00:00R. Krejci1.531111113J. Plachy2.386880WOct 9 · 22:30J. Prokupek2.0010740J. Plachy1.731211113LOct 9 · 21:30J. Plachy1.47611119122T. Dousa2.50118911143WOct 9 · 20:30K. Darin1.838970J. Plachy1.831111113LOct 9 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8011811772F. Jungman1.91811711113WOct 9 · 18:30T. Dousa1.83811101152J. Plachy1.83119129113LOct 8 · 13:00J. Plachy2.2075100M. Vedmoch1.611111123LOct 8 · 12:00J. Plachy2.75116481P. Zmuda1.4091111113
K. Brozhik10
LOct 10 · 03:30R. Krejci2.601411113K. Brozhik1.4512890WOct 10 · 00:30K. Brozhik1.50211911113J. Prokupek2.5011811492WOct 9 · 23:00K. Brozhik1.501111811113R. Krejci2.5013311672LOct 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.8011413113K. Brozhik1.917111161WOct 8 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke2.0048121182K. Brozhik1.731111106113WOct 8 · 02:00K. Brozhik1.5771113113F. Just2.251151151LOct 8 · 01:00K. Brozhik1.617770V. Cermak2.201111113LOct 8 · 00:00M. Vizek1.67111186123K. Brozhik2.10681111102LOct 7 · 22:30A. Hlawatschke1.8071111123K. Brozhik1.911187101LOct 5 · 20:58M. Vedmoch2.501111113K. Brozhik1.504940
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