Roman Guliak vs Jan Sommer 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava

Played Oct 12Finished

Roman Guliak

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

911115113118––

Jan Sommer

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jan Sommer to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Jan Sommer below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-3

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 69 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Jan Sommer at 54.0%

69 points played in total.

H2H Roman Guliak 1–1 Jan Sommer Dead even across their 2 meetings.

Last 2 · 1–1Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sommer

Guliak 2.00/Sommer 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sommer · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Guliak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:15

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Sommer

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

1-1 in 2

—

Too close

2 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Guliak 1398 vs Sommer 1526

Sommer

Wrong

both rated, 128 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Guliak 60% vs Sommer 80%

Sommer

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Guliak 50% vs Sommer 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Guliak -1 · Sommer +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sommer) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sommer: form 80%, the price implies 58%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGuliak 2.00 / Sommer 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Sommer)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 2 meetings

HomeGuliak1wins

AwaySommer1wins

Level at 1–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home1

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away1

These 2 meetings

MetricGuliakSommerG − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match38.029.0+9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGuliakSommerBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 697 vs 12 / 2349.4%52.2%344 / 697 vs 12 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280365

Guliak2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog39% won 74 of 188

Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 111

Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69

Sommer1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Roman Guliak vs Jan Sommer 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Roman Guliak vs Jan Sommer 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.