Jan Szotkowski vs Tadeas Zika 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod

Played Oct 12Finished

Jan Szotkowski

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1210711811811––

Tadeas Zika

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Jan Szotkowski to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Tadeas Zika below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 78 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.5%

78 points played in total.

H2H Jan Szotkowski 122–103 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 103 of their 225 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Szotkowski

Szotkowski 1.73/Zika 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.5%

Szotkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Zika won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 11:39

54.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Szotkowski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

122-103 in 225

Szotkowski

Wrong

gap of 19 in 225, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Szotkowski 1871 vs Zika 1827

Szotkowski

Wrong

both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Szotkowski 60% vs Zika 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Szotkowski 60% vs Zika 40%

Szotkowski

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Szotkowski +1 · Zika +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSzotkowski 1.727 / Zika 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 46%

Edge (Szotkowski)-3.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSzotkowski7wins

AwayZika3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSzotkowski100%6 of 6

AwayZika75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Szotkowski6Zika4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10

S2Szotkowski7Zika3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10

S3Szotkowski6Zika4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10

S4Szotkowski7Zika1n = 8Szotkowski took 7 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSzotkowskiZikaS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.9+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSzotkowskiZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 822 vs 816 / 176552.8%46.2%434 / 822 vs 816 / 1765Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.5per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13280293

Szotkowski1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite54% won 144 of 265

Up 2–0, closes it94% 76 of 81

Up 1–0, closes it77% 115 of 150

Zika2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog46% won 299 of 647

Down 0–1, comes back26% 85 of 322

Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 171

Jan Szotkowski vs Tadeas Zika 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jan Szotkowski vs Tadeas Zika 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.