Tadeas Zika vs Ondrej Paril 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod

Played Oct 12Finished

Tadeas Zika

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119114119––––

Ondrej Paril

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Ondrej Paril to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Ondrej Paril below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 55 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Ondrej Paril at 54.0%

55 points played in total.

H2H Tadeas Zika 79–92 Ondrej Paril Tadeas Zika has won 79 of their 171 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Paril

Zika 2.00/Paril 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Paril · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Zika won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:29

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Paril

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

79-92 in 171

Paril

Wrong

gap of 13 in 171, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zika 1827 vs Paril 1852

Paril

Wrong

both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zika 60% vs Paril 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zika 50% vs Paril 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Zika +3 · Paril +1

Zika

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Paril) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZika 2.00 / Paril 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Paril)-3.9pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Zika beat Paril 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZika5wins

AwayParil5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZika57.1%4 of 7

AwayParil66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zika7Paril3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10

S2Zika3Paril7n = 10Paril took 7 of 10

S3Zika7Paril3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10

S4Zika5Paril5n = 10split evenly

S5Zika1Paril3n = 4Paril took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricZikaParilZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.242.7+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZikaParilBasisWin rate · lifetime816 / 1765 vs 518 / 100146.2%51.8%816 / 1765 vs 518 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13284826

Zika2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog46% won 299 of 647

Down 0–1, comes back26% 85 of 322

Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 171

Paril1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite58% won 166 of 287

Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85

Up 1–0, closes it78% 124 of 159

Tadeas Zika vs Ondrej Paril 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Tadeas Zika vs Ondrej Paril 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.