TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Sulc vs Ales Langer 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 3 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111148111012––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Ales Langer below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 71 set 4, 10-12
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 40–29 Ales Langer Ales Langer has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sulc beat Langer 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Langer form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 1.57 / Langer 2.25
TT Cup · #13279978
Sulc1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 71 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Langer2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 82 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc7wins
AwayLanger3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulc leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc75%6 of 8
AwayLangern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc8Langer2n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10
S2Sulc6Langer4n = 10Sulc took 6 of 10
S3Sulc6Langer4n = 10Sulc took 6 of 10
S4Sulc4Langer5n = 9Langer took 5 of 9
S5Sulc2Langer2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcLangerS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.738.1+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcLangerBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 654 vs 267 / 57450.2%46.5%328 / 654 vs 267 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSulc 1.57/Langer 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Langer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 11 · 11:50M. Sulc4591111143A. Langer381178121
WOct 4 · 08:20M. Sulc511111612113A. Langer5198111492
WSep 27 · 08:20M. Sulc331111113A. Langer155730
WSep 26 · 14:30M. Sulc4211119113A. Langer26561141
LSep 26 · 10:55M. Sulc4611713872A. Langer528111111113
WSep 20 · 11:20M. Sulc3611311113A. Langer34811691
WAug 30 · 14:20M. Sulc4211119113A. Langer31991121
LAug 28 · 16:50M. Sulc4411711872A. Langer48611911113
LAug 13 · 13:25M. Sulc31771161A. Langer3911116113
WAug 11 · 10:55M. Sulc471211112113A. Langer47103111492
M. Sulc10
WOct 11 · 12:20O. Fiklik1.732111161M. Sulc2.0011413113WOct 11 · 11:50A. Langer2.101178121M. Sulc1.6791111143WOct 11 · 10:50M. Sulc1.40911911113D. Sykora2.7511811682LOct 8 · 21:50M. Sulc2.023131171J. Hrncir1.7011153113WOct 8 · 20:20D. Sykora2.256670M. Sulc1.571111113WOct 8 · 19:50J. Hrncir2.10101141182M. Sulc1.67127119113WOct 8 · 18:50M. Sulc1.449101111113A. Kral2.6311127762LOct 6 · 17:20M. Kulisek1.571211113M. Sulc2.2510760LOct 6 · 16:20A. Rek1.611191011113M. Sulc2.2091112972LOct 6 · 15:50M. Kulisek1.5711116113M. Sulc2.25981171
A. Langer10
WOct 11 · 12:50D. Sykora2.1011115792A. Langer1.67841111113LOct 11 · 11:50A. Langer2.101178121M. Sulc1.6791111143WOct 11 · 10:20O. Fiklik1.67611111372A. Langer2.10118815113LOct 9 · 14:03A. Langer2.2011101110102O. Fiklik1.61712412123WOct 9 · 12:55A. Langer2.1011911113O. Fiklik1.67611841LOct 9 · 11:55A. Langer1.919111210102V. Hejda Jr1.801181012123LOct 9 · 10:55A. Langer2.75612128102D. Hyza1.4011101011123WOct 8 · 10:10A. Langer2.201111153J. Vonasek1.6165130LOct 8 · 08:55A. Langer2.208813131O. Fiklik1.61111111153WOct 8 · 07:55A. Langer2.6311811113J. Vonasek1.44711881
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