TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Sulc vs David Sykora 3-2 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 3 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118911116118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sulc above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Martin Sulc at 67.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sulc 16–5 David Sykora David Sykora has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:4167.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-5 in 21
Sulc
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulc 1552 vs Sykora 1505
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulc 60% vs Sykora 20%
Sulc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulc 40% vs Sykora 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulc -1 · Sykora -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Sulc) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulc 1.40 / Sykora 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Sulc)-3.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13276103
Sulc1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 08)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 71 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it70% 47 of 67
Sykora2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 08)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back35% 23 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulc8wins
AwaySykora2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulc leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulc60%3 of 5
AwaySykora0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulc5Sykora5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulc7Sykora3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S3Sulc7Sykora3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S4Sulc5Sykora4n = 9Sulc took 5 of 9
S5Sulc3Sykora1n = 4Sulc took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulcSykoraSulc − SykoraBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.8+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulcSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 651 vs 278 / 51249.9%54.3%325 / 651 vs 278 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSulc 1.40/Sykora 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 8 · 20:20M. Sulc331111113D. Sykora196670
WAug 10 · 10:20M. Sulc4611816113D. Sykora406111491
LAug 3 · 13:50M. Sulc48116111192D. Sykora49711713113
WAug 3 · 11:50M. Sulc521011146113D. Sykora42123121142
WAug 2 · 10:55M. Sulc49711911113D. Sykora4311711772
WJul 23 · 13:58M. Sulc4213117113D. Sykora371181171
WJul 23 · 12:55M. Sulc3611111133D. Sykora371196111
WJul 21 · 12:55M. Sulc44101112113D. Sykora401291091
WMay 12 · 15:20M. Sulc51911119113D. Sykora4111691142
LMay 6 · 15:20M. Sulc30117751D. Sykora4071111113
M. Sulc10
LOct 8 · 21:50M. Sulc2.023131171J. Hrncir1.7011153113WOct 8 · 20:20D. Sykora2.256670M. Sulc1.571111113WOct 8 · 19:50J. Hrncir2.10101141182M. Sulc1.67127119113WOct 8 · 18:50M. Sulc1.449101111113A. Kral2.6311127762LOct 6 · 17:20M. Kulisek1.571211113M. Sulc2.2510760LOct 6 · 16:20A. Rek1.611191011113M. Sulc2.2091112972LOct 6 · 15:50M. Kulisek1.5711116113M. Sulc2.25981171LOct 6 · 14:50M. Sulc2.637116101D. Hyza1.4411911123LOct 4 · 10:04M. Sulc1.954480J. Vonasek1.751111113WOct 4 · 08:20A. Langer2.2098111492M. Sulc1.611111612113
D. Sykora10
WOct 11 · 11:20O. Fiklik1.50311891D. Sykora2.5011611113LOct 8 · 21:18D. Sykora1.361123101A. Kral3.0091111123LOct 8 · 20:20D. Sykora2.256670M. Sulc1.571111113WOct 8 · 19:20D. Sykora1.4011115123A. Kral2.756711101LOct 8 · 18:20D. Sykora1.8311811772J. Hrncir1.83811611113LOct 5 · 17:59D. Sykora1.91111061182J. Melichar1.80812116113WOct 5 · 16:20D. Sykora2.1051111113J. Melichar1.67115931WOct 5 · 15:20D. Sykora1.91111213153J. Hendrych1.8091015131WOct 5 · 14:20D. Sykora1.5311311113Z. Zahradka2.38711771LOct 4 · 18:05D. Sykora1.958670O. Varecka1.751111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.