Vladimir Adamczyk vs Samuel Byrtus 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod

Played Oct 12Finished

Vladimir Adamczyk

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1151161210––––

Samuel Byrtus

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Vladimir Adamczyk to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

Sent to Pro: Samuel Byrtus @ 2.25 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Samuel Byrtus below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 12-10

Point 55 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Vladimir Adamczyk at 60.5%

55 points played in total.

H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 11–8 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 8 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Byrtus

Adamczyk 1.57/Byrtus 2.25

Miss

What we said

60.5%

Adamczyk · sealed before the serve

Sent to Pro: Samuel Byrtus @ 2.25 · Lost

The Pro pick went the other way, on a re-read before the serve.

What happened

3–0

Adamczyk won

The pick

Sealed 07:48

Sent to Pro: Samuel Byrtus @ 2.25 · Lost

60.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 3.2pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Adamczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

11-8 in 19

Adamczyk

Correct

gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Adamczyk 1640 vs Byrtus 1606

Adamczyk

Correct

both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Adamczyk 40% vs Byrtus 60%

Byrtus

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Adamczyk 70% vs Byrtus 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Adamczyk -2 · Byrtus -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Adamczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Byrtus: form 60%, the price implies 44%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAdamczyk 1.571 / Byrtus 2.25

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Adamczyk)-3.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeAdamczyk7wins

AwayByrtus3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderAdamczyk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeAdamczyk71.4%5 of 7

AwayByrtus33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Adamczyk7Byrtus3n = 10Adamczyk took 7 of 10

S2Adamczyk6Byrtus4n = 10Adamczyk took 6 of 10

S3Adamczyk7Byrtus3n = 10Adamczyk took 7 of 10

S4Adamczyk4Byrtus2n = 6Adamczyk took 4 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricAdamczykByrtusA − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.331.3+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricAdamczykByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 250 vs 295 / 56955.2%51.9%138 / 250 vs 295 / 569Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13279950

Adamczyk1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 63 of 109

Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34

Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60

Byrtus2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog45% won 70 of 155

Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 88

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45

Vladimir Adamczyk vs Samuel Byrtus 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vladimir Adamczyk vs Samuel Byrtus 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.